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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 5, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Hawks25%9387
4Hornets75%10279
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.9
39.7
38.1
11
39%
11
1
2
2
3
4
4
7
0-0
-
4-9
5-12
44%
46%
1-5
20%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.4
36.4
37.3
24
55%
7
4
0
1
0
3
3
4
2-2
100%
8-15
6-12
53%
46%
2-6
33%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.4
32.9
32.0
10
57%
8
4
1
1
1
1
1
7
2-4
50%
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.4
31.9
18.1
11
92%
7
0
1
0
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
1-3
2-6
33%
44%
3-3
100%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.5
27.1
32.6
8
38%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
42%
1-4
25%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.3
25.6
18.7
14
60%
3
3
2
1
0
1
2
1
1-4
25%
2-4
3-6
50%
42%
3-6
50%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.0
17.9
24.0
8
80%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.7
16.3
17.7
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.8
12.1
13.3
1
13%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-3
0%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
4.2
0
0-1
45%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 22.8
2.8
0
0-1
43%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
2.6
0
0-0
43%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.4
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 23.7
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
37.5
38.6
15
54%
7
5
1
1
2
2
2
5
2-2
100%
5-12
8-17
42%
49%
1-1
100%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.4
37.4
31.5
8
31%
6
4
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
46%
2-7
29%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.5
36.9
36.1
22
64%
5
11
3
2
0
2
2
3
4-5
80%
6-11
7-13
55%
51%
2-4
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.1
34.6
21.1
9
95%
7
1
0
0
3
2
2
5
3-4
75%
3-3
2-4
100%
60%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.2
19.6
22.4
6
43%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.8
28.4
26.5
10
56%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
2-6
33%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.0
13.4
18.8
3
39%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.5
12.8
23.9
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
41%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.4
11.1
10.1
2
50%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.9
8.3
12.2
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.5
6.1
0
1-1
52%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.0
2.0
0
0-0
43%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.5
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.