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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 5, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Grizzlies46%9495
28Kings54%95100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.0
35.4
37.2
28
69%
1
0
3
1
0
2
1
0
2-3
67%
4-9
5-10
44%
46%
6-10
60%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.2
33.0
36.4
18
55%
6
1
1
1
0
4
1
5
7-10
70%
4-7
7-14
57%
50%
1-5
20%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.8
30.8
28.6
5
64%
6
0
1
1
0
4
3
3
1-2
50%
2-3
4-8
67%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.1
17.2
25.1
4
46%
0
6
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-3
67%
1-2
3-6
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.6
16.8
18.2
4
25%
5
0
2
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
1-7
3-5
14%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.6
30.8
22.3
14
60%
6
7
1
1
0
1
2
4
4-4
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
49%
2-3
67%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.5
22.8
15.2
5
43%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.3
20.7
29.8
8
58%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-2
0%
4-6
5-9
67%
52%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.4
17.1
15.8
6
77%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.1
15.4
3.7
3
38%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.9
7.9
0
1-1
44%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.8
5.1
0
1-1
46%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.2
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.8
42.9
34.4
33
70%
1
3
3
1
0
2
0
1
10-13
77%
10-15
4-9
67%
50%
1-3
33%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.9
42.5
32.6
21
69%
9
3
1
1
0
3
2
7
4-5
80%
7-12
4-9
58%
50%
1-1
100%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.5
34.6
29.9
13
66%
3
2
1
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
3-7
4-9
43%
49%
2-2
100%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.0
31.5
18.8
6
50%
11
2
1
0
0
2
3
8
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.3
27.5
24.9
4
22%
1
6
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-9
3-6
22%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.3
25.3
24.4
11
45%
6
1
2
1
0
2
4
2
1-3
33%
5-11
4-8
45%
50%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.1
20.5
12.9
10
125%
2
5
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
2-2
100%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.5
6.3
16.7
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-2
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.6
4.8
12.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
4.1
20.9
2
50%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.7
9.8
0
1-2
47%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.6
8.5
0
1-2
48%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.