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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 7, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Heat36%9199
13Spurs64%9583
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.5
39.5
28.8
4
29%
7
0
4
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
54%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.4
38.1
29.8
15
70%
10
1
0
1
0
1
0
10
5-6
83%
5-8
4-7
63%
49%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.8
36.4
32.2
33
60%
10
9
3
2
0
3
2
8
5-6
83%
14-24
6-13
58%
49%
0-1
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.8
30.8
34.0
20
69%
8
3
2
1
2
1
2
6
10-10
100%
5-10
6-12
50%
47%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.5
30.6
30.1
2
20%
4
7
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.5
27.9
19.5
10
63%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
2-3
67%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.1
17.4
15.1
15
83%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
42%
5-6
83%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.9
9.9
13.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.2
9.4
16.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 23.2
10.3
0
1-2
45%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.9
6.2
0
1-2
48%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.2
3.1
0
0-0
45%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.1
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.0
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.2
37.8
31.1
18
50%
5
6
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
1-6
3-6
17%
49%
5-11
45%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.5
27.6
38.6
22
60%
11
2
0
1
0
2
4
7
4-5
80%
9-16
9-18
56%
50%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.1
13.1
13.1
4
67%
6
1
0
0
2
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.4
12.0
21.2
2
33%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.5
10.1
35.9
4
40%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
9-17
40%
52%
0-0
-
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.1
28.6
6.1
5
28%
5
2
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
1-7
14%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.2
27.5
16.9
14
64%
4
2
1
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
3-5
60%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.7
24.1
26.9
0
0%
4
3
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.4
22.1
7.5
8
57%
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
2-6
33%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.5
20.9
10.5
6
34%
1
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2-4
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
0-2
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.6
16.2
18.1
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
57%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.6
0.2
12.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.7
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.3
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.