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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 7, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Grizzlies30%91109
18Warriors70%98104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.0
44.0
35.9
20
48%
9
4
0
1
0
3
3
6
3-4
75%
7-15
4-10
47%
44%
1-4
25%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.2
40.5
34.6
23
51%
4
2
1
1
1
4
1
3
5-6
83%
6-13
6-13
46%
49%
2-7
29%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.1
32.2
21.6
10
63%
2
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.6
25.9
17.6
13
44%
12
1
0
1
3
0
3
9
3-4
75%
5-13
3-6
38%
46%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.8
17.3
29.0
8
82%
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
50%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.3
37.9
25.8
19
65%
10
3
1
1
0
0
3
7
5-6
83%
7-12
4-8
58%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.6
15.8
25.6
7
51%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.4
12.4
16.4
6
61%
6
0
0
0
0
0
4
2
0-2
0%
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.5
9.9
18.1
3
50%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.1
4.1
8.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.9
7.3
0
1-1
43%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.9
5.0
0
1-1
44%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.5
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.6
44.0
40.8
27
51%
3
4
1
1
1
2
2
1
9-13
69%
9-15
4-9
60%
46%
0-6
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.6
42.4
27.1
9
38%
8
8
1
1
0
0
3
5
7-11
64%
1-6
3-6
17%
45%
0-1
0%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
39.0
32.6
21
59%
6
1
1
1
1
3
1
5
3-4
75%
6-11
4-8
55%
50%
2-5
40%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.6
34.9
33.2
23
66%
12
1
1
1
2
3
5
7
9-10
90%
7-13
6-10
54%
61%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.1
20.8
17.6
6
51%
2
0
1
0
3
3
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
53%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.3
17.1
1.4
8
50%
7
0
0
0
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
4-8
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 25.8
12.6
17.3
2
33%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.9
9.9
4.3
0
0%
0
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.6
9.8
3.9
2
26%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Nelson
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.0
9.5
14.4
6
55%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.1
6.5
0
1-1
46%
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 23.7
3.7
0
0-1
48%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.0
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.