Final Win Prob. pScore
1325%92
89
375%101
100
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
107.28383.1
Hornets
117.68585.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOH
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH89
100
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (30 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)89
100
Q4 - 0:32.0NOHChandler Alley Oop Layup (13 PTS) (Paul 13 AST)87
100
Q4 - 0:46.0NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)87
98
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
98
Q4 - 0:56.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
98
Q4 - 0:56.0NOHMISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
98
Q4 - 1:19NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)87
98
Q4 - 1:20MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
98
Q4 - 1:28MIASUB: Cook FOR Chalmers87
98
Q4 - 1:28MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)87
98
Q4 - 1:28NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 12 AST)87
98
Q4 - 1:49NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)87
95
Q4 - 1:50MIAMISS Beasley Layup87
95
Q4 - 2:07NOHWest Foul Turnover (P1.T10)87
95
Q4 - 2:07NOHWest OFF.Foul (P5)87
95
Q4 - 2:31MIAHaslem Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)87
95
Q4 - 2:44NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)85
95
Q4 - 2:44NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)85
94
Q4 - 2:44MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P4.PN)85
94
Q4 - 2:44NOHPaul Driving Layup (20 PTS)85
94
Q4 - 3:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)85
92
Q4 - 3:00NOHWest S.FOUL (P4.PN)84
92
Q4 - 3:00MIAWade Driving Layup (27 PTS)84
92
Q4 - 3:06NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T9)82
92
Q4 - 3:25NOHHORNETS Rebound82
92
Q4 - 3:26MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
92
Q4 - 3:33NOHStojakovic P.FOUL (P1.T4)82
92
Q4 - 3:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
92
Q4 - 3:47NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot82
92
Q4 - 4:07NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
92
Q4 - 4:08MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot82
92
Q4 - 4:30NOHPaul Driving Layup (18 PTS)82
92
Q4 - 4:46NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)82
90
Q4 - 4:47MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot82
90
Q4 - 4:56NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)82
90
Q4 - 4:56NOHHORNETS Rebound82
89
Q4 - 4:56NOHMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 282
89
Q4 - 4:56MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P5.PN)82
89
Q4 - 5:06MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)82
89
Q4 - 5:23NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)79
89
Q4 - 5:34NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR Butler79
86
Q4 - 5:3479
86
Q4 - 5:34MIABeasley P.FOUL (P4.T4)79
86
Q4 - 5:48MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)79
86
Q4 - 6:06NOHButler 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)77
86
Q4 - 6:08NOHButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)77
84
Q4 - 6:10NOHMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
84
Q4 - 6:33MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)77
84
Q4 - 6:46NOHChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
84
Q4 - 6:46NOHHORNETS Rebound75
83
Q4 - 6:46NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 275
83
Q4 - 6:46MIAQuinn S.FOUL (P2.T3)75
83
Q4 - 7:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)75
83
Q4 - 7:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)74
83
Q4 - 7:01NOHPosey S.FOUL (P4.T3)73
83
Q4 - 7:06NOHSUB: Chandler FOR Armstrong73
83
Q4 - 7:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
83
Q4 - 7:13NOHMISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
83
Q4 - 7:43MIAWade Driving Layup (23 PTS)73
83
Q4 - 7:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
83
Q4 - 7:51NOHMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
83
Q4 - 8:04MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)71
83
Q4 - 8:04MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
83
Q4 - 8:04NOHArmstrong S.FOUL (P3.T2)69
83
Q4 - 8:05MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
83
Q4 - 8:06MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot69
83
Q4 - 8:20NOHSUB: Paul FOR James69
83
Q4 - 8:20NOHJames L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)69
83
Q4 - 8:20MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
83
Q4 - 8:21NOHMISS James Layup69
83
Q4 - 8:26NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
83
Q4 - 8:27NOHMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
83
Q4 - 8:45NOHButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)69
83
Q4 - 8:46NOHMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
83
Q4 - 9:10MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)69
83
Q4 - 9:31NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)66
83
Q4 - 9:31MIABeasley S.FOUL (P3.T2)66
82
Q4 - 9:31NOHWest 7' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (James 2 AST)66
82
Q4 - 9:42NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
80
Q4 - 9:43NOHMISS James Free Throw 2 of 266
80
Q4 - 9:43MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Marion66
80
Q4 - 9:43NOHJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
80
Q4 - 9:43MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.T1)66
79
Q4 - 9:57NOHHORNETS Rebound66
79
Q4 - 9:57NOHJump Ball Armstrong vs. Haslem: Tip to West66
79
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
79
Q4 - 10:08MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)66
79
Q4 - 10:12NOHJames Driving Layup (9 PTS)66
79
Q4 - 10:34NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
77
Q4 - 10:35MIAMISS Wade Layup66
77
Q4 - 10:46MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
77
Q4 - 10:47NOHMISS James Layup66
77
Q4 - 11:09MIAButler STEAL (1 STL)66
77
Q4 - 11:18MIAHeat Rebound66
77
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot66
77
Q4 - 11:39NOHButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)66
77
Q4 - 12:0066
74
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH66
74
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound66
74
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Paul 11' Running Bank Shot66
74
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAHaslem Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)66
74
Q3 - 0:22.0NOHWest 8' Driving Bank Shot (18 PTS)64
74
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMarion 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)64
72
Q3 - 0:50.0NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)62
72
Q3 - 0:50.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)62
71
Q3 - 0:50.0NOHSUB: Armstrong FOR Chandler62
70
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.PN)62
70
Q3 - 1:10MIAQuinn 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)62
70
Q3 - 1:36NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)59
70
Q3 - 1:50NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)59
68
Q3 - 1:51MIAMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot59
68
Q3 - 2:00NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)59
68
Q3 - 2:16NOHSUB: Butler FOR Stojakovic59
68
Q3 - 2:16NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)59
68
Q3 - 2:18MIAQuinn 19' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)59
68
Q3 - 2:27MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
68
Q3 - 2:28NOHMISS West 20' Jump Shot57
68
Q3 - 2:40NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
68
Q3 - 2:41MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
68
Q3 - 2:54NOHWest P.FOUL (P3.T3)57
68
Q3 - 3:00MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
68
Q3 - 3:01NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot57
68
Q3 - 3:10NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
68
Q3 - 3:11MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot57
68
Q3 - 3:36NOHPosey Foul Turnover (P1.T7)57
68
Q3 - 3:36NOHPosey OFF.Foul (P3)57
68
Q3 - 3:50MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)57
68
Q3 - 4:09NOHStojakovic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)54
68
Q3 - 4:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)54
68
Q3 - 4:27MIAHeat Rebound53
68
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 253
68
Q3 - 4:27NOHPosey S.FOUL (P2.T2)53
68
Q3 - 4:39MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
68
Q3 - 4:40NOHMISS Paul Layup53
68
Q3 - 4:52NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
68
Q3 - 4:53MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot53
68
Q3 - 5:06MIASUB: Quinn FOR Cook53
68
Q3 - 5:06MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)53
68
Q3 - 5:07NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (West 3 AST)53
68
Q3 - 5:11NOHSUB: Posey FOR Peterson53
65
Q3 - 5:32NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
65
Q3 - 5:32MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot53
65
Q3 - 5:59NOHWest Layup (14 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)53
65
Q3 - 6:18MIAWade Driving Layup (20 PTS)53
63
Q3 - 6:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
63
Q3 - 6:26NOHMISS Peterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
63
Q3 - 6:44MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)51
63
Q3 - 6:56MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
63
Q3 - 6:57NOHMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot49
63
Q3 - 6:58MIAPaul STEAL (4 STL)49
63
Q3 - 7:16NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
63
Q3 - 7:16NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)49
62
Q3 - 7:16MIASUB: Cook FOR Diawara49
61
Q3 - 7:16MIADiawara P.FOUL (P5.PN)49
61
Q3 - 7:17MIAPaul STEAL (3 STL)49
61
Q3 - 7:30NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
61
Q3 - 7:30NOHHORNETS Rebound49
60
Q3 - 7:30NOHMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 249
60
Q3 - 7:30MIADiawara P.FOUL (P4.PN)49
60
Q3 - 7:35MIADiawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)49
60
Q3 - 7:59NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)46
60
Q3 - 8:10MIAWade 18' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)46
58
Q3 - 8:23NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
58
Q3 - 8:23NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
57
Q3 - 8:23MIADiawara S.FOUL (P3.PN)44
56
Q3 - 8:35MIADiawara P.FOUL (P2.T4)44
56
Q3 - 8:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)44
56
Q3 - 8:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)43
56
Q3 - 8:54NOHPeterson S.FOUL (P2.T1)42
56
Q3 - 9:05MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)42
56
Q3 - 9:06NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 142
56
Q3 - 9:06MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)42
56
Q3 - 9:06MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T3)42
56
Q3 - 9:06NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)42
56
Q3 - 9:13NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
54
Q3 - 9:14MIAChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)42
54
Q3 - 9:35NOHPeterson Layup (10 PTS)42
54
Q3 - 9:40MIAPeterson STEAL (2 STL)42
52
Q3 - 9:56NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)42
52
Q3 - 9:56MIASUB: Diawara FOR Chalmers42
51
Q3 - 9:56NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
51
Q3 - 9:56MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P4.T2)42
50
Q3 - 10:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
50
Q3 - 10:04MIAWade Putback Dunk (14 PTS)42
50
Q3 - 10:05MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot40
50
Q3 - 10:29NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)40
50
Q3 - 10:29NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)40
49
Q3 - 10:29NOHWest Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)40
48
Q3 - 10:29MIAHaslem T.FOUL (P1.T1)40
47
Q3 - 10:29MIAMarion S.FOUL (P1.T1)40
47
Q3 - 10:32NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
47
Q3 - 10:33NOHMISS Stojakovic Layup40
47
Q3 - 10:36NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
47
Q3 - 10:37NOHMISS Stojakovic 18' Jump Shot40
47
Q3 - 10:53MIABeasley Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)40
47
Q3 - 11:04MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
47
Q3 - 11:05NOHMISS Chandler Alley Oop Layup38
47
Q3 - 11:17NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
47
Q3 - 11:20NOHMISS West 12' Jump Shot38
47
Q3 - 11:47MIAChalmers 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)38
47
Q3 - 12:0036
47
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH36
47
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound36
47
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Peterson 59' 3PT Jump Shot36
47
Q2 - 0:00.0MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)36
47
Q2 - 0:06.0NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)33
47
Q2 - 0:12.0NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
47
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Diawara 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
47
Q2 - 0:31.0MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
47
Q2 - 0:31.0NOHMISS Armstrong 12' Jump Shot33
47
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)33
47
Q2 - 0:44.0NOHPeterson S.FOUL (P1.PN)32
47
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Diawara 1 AST)32
47
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)30
47
Q2 - 0:53.0NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)30
47
Q2 - 0:53.0MIASUB: Cook FOR Chalmers30
46
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P3.PN)30
46
Q2 - 0:53.0NOHPaul Layup (4 PTS) (West 2 AST)30
46
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAPaul STEAL (2 STL)30
44
Q2 - 1:12NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
44
Q2 - 1:12NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
43
Q2 - 1:12MIADiawara S.FOUL (P1.PN)30
42
Q2 - 1:19NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
42
Q2 - 1:23MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 230
42
Q2 - 1:23MIASUB: Diawara FOR Cook30
42
Q2 - 1:23MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)30
42
Q2 - 1:23NOHArmstrong L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)29
42
Q2 - 1:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
42
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
42
Q2 - 1:42NOHPeterson Running Layup (8 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)29
42
Q2 - 1:57NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
40
Q2 - 1:58MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
40
Q2 - 2:16NOHPaul Foul Turnover (P2.T4)29
40
Q2 - 2:16NOHPaul OFF.Foul (P2)29
40
Q2 - 2:21NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
40
Q2 - 2:22NOHMISS Paul Layup29
40
Q2 - 2:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)29
40
Q2 - 2:35NOHSUB: Armstrong FOR Chandler28
40
Q2 - 2:35MIAHeat Rebound28
40
Q2 - 2:35MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 228
40
Q2 - 2:35NOHChandler S.FOUL (P3.T4)28
40
Q2 - 2:51NOHWest 12' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)28
40
Q2 - 3:08MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)28
38
Q2 - 3:08MIAPaul STEAL (1 STL)28
38
Q2 - 3:13NOHChandler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)28
38
Q2 - 3:16NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
38
Q2 - 3:17MIAMISS Haslem Layup28
38
Q2 - 3:36NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)28
38
Q2 - 3:36MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T4)28
37
Q2 - 3:36NOHWest 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)28
37
Q2 - 3:47MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.T3)28
35
Q2 - 3:54MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)28
35
Q2 - 3:54NOHPaul S.FOUL (P1.T3)27
35
Q2 - 3:54MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)27
35
Q2 - 4:11NOHPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)25
35
Q2 - 4:24NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
32
Q2 - 4:25MIAMISS Wade Layup25
32
Q2 - 4:35MIAHeat Rebound25
32
Q2 - 4:35NOHMISS West Free Throw Technical25
32
Q2 - 4:3525
32
Q2 - 4:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
32
Q2 - 4:43NOHMISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot25
32
Q2 - 4:53NOHSUB: Peterson FOR Posey25
32
Q2 - 4:53MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T2)25
32
Q2 - 5:02NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
32
Q2 - 5:03MIAPosey BLOCK (2 BLK)25
32
Q2 - 5:16MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)25
32
Q2 - 5:17NOHMISS West 10' Fadeaway Jumper25
32
Q2 - 5:35MIASUB: Wade FOR Diawara25
32
Q2 - 5:35NOHSUB: West FOR Butler25
32
Q2 - 5:35NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR Wright25
32
Q2 - 5:35NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)25
32
Q2 - 5:40NOHWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
32
Q2 - 5:41MIAMISS Cook 28' 3PT Jump Shot25
32
Q2 - 6:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
32
Q2 - 6:05NOHMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot25
32
Q2 - 6:08NOHButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
32
Q2 - 6:09NOHMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
32
Q2 - 6:25NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
32
Q2 - 6:26MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot25
32
Q2 - 6:54NOHButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)25
32
Q2 - 7:10NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
29
Q2 - 7:11MIAPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)25
29
Q2 - 7:33MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
29
Q2 - 7:33NOHMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot25
29
Q2 - 7:46NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
29
Q2 - 7:47MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot25
29
Q2 - 8:05MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
29
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
29
Q2 - 8:30MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)25
29
Q2 - 8:31NOHMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
29
Q2 - 8:50NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
29
Q2 - 8:50MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 225
29
Q2 - 8:50MIAHeat Rebound25
29
Q2 - 8:50MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 225
29
Q2 - 8:50MIASUB: Haslem FOR Blount25
29
Q2 - 8:5025
29
Q2 - 8:50NOHWright S.FOUL (P1.T2)25
29
Q2 - 9:13NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)25
29
Q2 - 9:21NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
27
Q2 - 9:22NOHMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot25
27
Q2 - 9:32NOHWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
27
Q2 - 9:33MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot25
27
Q2 - 9:43MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
27
Q2 - 9:44NOHMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
27
Q2 - 9:58MIASUB: Marion FOR Beasley25
27
Q2 - 9:58MIABeasley P.FOUL (P2.T1)25
27
Q2 - 10:09NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
27
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
27
Q2 - 10:25NOHSUB: Chandler FOR Armstrong25
27
Q2 - 10:25MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Quinn25
27
Q2 - 10:25NOHSUB: Paul FOR James25
27
Q2 - 10:25NOHArmstrong P.FOUL (P1.T1)25
27
Q2 - 10:43NOHJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)25
27
Q2 - 11:05MIABeasley 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)25
24
Q2 - 11:11MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
24
Q2 - 11:13MIAMISS Beasley Layup25
24
Q2 - 11:25NOHWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)25
24
Q2 - 11:44MIABeasley 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)25
24
Q2 - 12:0023
24
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH23
24
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound23
24
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Wright 8' Jump Shot23
24
Q1 - 0:03.0MIADiawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)23
24
Q1 - 0:22.0NOHJames Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
24
Q1 - 0:38.0MIASUB: Beasley FOR Marion20
22
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAQuinn P.FOUL (P1.T2)20
22
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
22
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAHeat Rebound19
22
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 219
22
Q1 - 0:43.0MIASUB: Diawara FOR Wade19
22
Q1 - 0:43.0NOHSUB: Butler FOR Stojakovic19
22
Q1 - 0:43.0NOHPosey S.FOUL (P1.PN)19
22
Q1 - 0:54.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
22
Q1 - 0:55.0NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
22
Q1 - 1:13MIAMarion Layup (7 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)19
22
Q1 - 1:36MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
22
Q1 - 1:36NOHMISS Armstrong 19' Jump Shot17
22
Q1 - 1:45NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
22
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Blount 11' Jump Shot17
22
Q1 - 1:50MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
22
Q1 - 1:51MIAMISS Marion 12' Jump Shot17
22
Q1 - 2:09NOHWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
22
Q1 - 2:09NOHWright Putback Dunk (2 PTS)17
22
Q1 - 2:10NOHMISS Stojakovic 20' Jump Shot17
20
Q1 - 2:26NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
20
Q1 - 2:27MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 117
20
Q1 - 2:27MIASUB: Blount FOR Haslem17
20
Q1 - 2:27NOHSUB: Wright FOR West17
20
Q1 - 2:27NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)17
20
Q1 - 2:27NOHWest S.FOUL (P2.PN)17
20
Q1 - 2:27MIAWade 10' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
20
Q1 - 2:45NOHArmstrong Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)15
20
Q1 - 3:04MIASUB: Cook FOR Beasley15
18
Q1 - 3:04MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T3)15
18
Q1 - 3:04MIAWade OFF.Foul (P1)15
18
Q1 - 3:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
18
Q1 - 3:08NOHMISS Stojakovic 11' Jump Shot15
18
Q1 - 3:23NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
18
Q1 - 3:25MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
18
Q1 - 3:31MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
18
Q1 - 3:33MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot15
18
Q1 - 3:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
18
Q1 - 3:53NOHMISS James 9' Jump Shot15
18
Q1 - 4:15MIAMarion 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)15
18
Q1 - 4:35NOHJames 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
18
Q1 - 4:55MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
16
Q1 - 4:55NOHSUB: Posey FOR Peterson11
16
Q1 - 4:55MIASUB: Quinn FOR Chalmers11
16
Q1 - 4:55MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
16
Q1 - 4:55NOHJames S.FOUL (P1.T4)10
16
Q1 - 5:07NOHArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)10
16
Q1 - 5:07NOHHORNETS Rebound10
15
Q1 - 5:07NOHMISS Armstrong Free Throw 1 of 210
15
Q1 - 5:07MIABeasley S.FOUL (P1.T1)10
15
Q1 - 5:21MIAMarion Layup (2 PTS)10
15
Q1 - 5:22MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
15
Q1 - 5:24MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot8
15
Q1 - 5:38NOHSUB: Armstrong FOR Chandler8
15
Q1 - 5:38NOHSUB: James FOR Paul8
15
Q1 - 5:38NOHChandler P.FOUL (P2.T3)8
15
Q1 - 5:47MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
15
Q1 - 5:48NOHMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot8
15
Q1 - 5:54NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
15
Q1 - 5:55NOHMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
15
Q1 - 6:13NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
15
Q1 - 6:14MIAMISS Wade Layup8
15
Q1 - 6:27NOHWest 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)8
15
Q1 - 6:38MIAChalmers 9' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)8
13
Q1 - 6:59NOHPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)6
13
Q1 - 7:22MIAWade 19' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
10
Q1 - 7:32MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)4
10
Q1 - 7:42NOHChandler Dunk (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)4
10
Q1 - 8:02MIAPeterson STEAL (1 STL)4
8
Q1 - 8:27NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)4
8
Q1 - 8:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
5
Q1 - 8:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
5
Q1 - 8:51NOHWest S.FOUL (P1.T2)2
5
Q1 - 8:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
5
Q1 - 8:56NOHMISS Chandler 7' Jump Shot2
5
Q1 - 9:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
5
Q1 - 9:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
5
Q1 - 9:11NOHChandler S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
5
Q1 - 9:19MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
5
Q1 - 9:21NOHMISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
5
Q1 - 9:28NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
5
Q1 - 9:29MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Shot0
5
Q1 - 9:56NOHStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)0
5
Q1 - 10:07NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:08MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:20NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 10:24NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:25MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:32MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:33NOHMISS West 7' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:51MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 10:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:00NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:17NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:18MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:41NOHWest 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIANOH
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
NOH
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
18
56%
NOH
13
19
68%
Midrange
MIA
13
33
39%
NOH
11
30
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
NOH
10
15.0
27
37%
56%
Free Throws
MIA
19
26
73%
NOH
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3058%15.0 / 26
C. Quinn1488%7.0 / 8
U. Haslem1255%6.0 / 11
M. Beasley1036%5.0 / 14
S. Marion1063%5.0 / 8
Y. Diawara675%3.0 / 4
M. Chalmers450%2.0 / 4
D. Cook325%1.5 / 6
M. Blount0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. West2166%10.5 / 16
C. Paul2170%10.5 / 15
T. Chandler1372%6.5 / 9
P. Stojakovic1250%6.0 / 12
M. Peterson1063%5.0 / 8
M. James1063%5.0 / 8
R. Butler850%4.0 / 8
H. Armstrong338%1.5 / 4
J. Wright225%1.0 / 4
J. Posey0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+9
-10
82
NOH
75
+15
-10
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
NOH
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
108.6
MIA 107.2
NOH 117.6 +10.4
Pace
90.2
88.0
MIA 83.1
NOH 85.4 +2.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.8
MIA 17.3
NOH 16.9 −0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
50.1%
MIA 48.6%
NOH 51.3% +2.7%
TO %
13.1%
13.3%
MIA 10.7%
NOH 10.1% −0.6%
ORB %
24.6%
24.6%
MIA 19.5%
NOH 29.3% +9.8%
FTrt
28.2
28.8
MIA 36.1
NOH 38.2 +2.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
55.3%
MIA 64.5%
NOH 67.6% +3.1%
STL %
8.7%
8.2%
MIA 8.4% +0.2%
NOH 8.2%
BLK %
9.2%
7.2%
MIA 6.1% +0.2%
NOH 5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
53.1%
MIA 53.6%
NOH 54.9% +1.3%
Rim FG%
59.5%
58.6%
MIA 55.6%
NOH 68.4% +12.8%
Mid FG%
41.8%
42.5%
MIA 39.4% +2.7%
NOH 36.7%
3P %
35.7%
36.4%
MIA 38.1% +1.1%
NOH 37.0%
FT %
75.4%
80.7%
MIA 73.1%
NOH 75.9% +2.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
29.0%
MIA 25.0%
NOH 25.0%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
47.0%
MIA 45.8%
NOH 39.5% −6.4%
3P Att. %
24.5%
24.0%
MIA 29.2%
NOH 35.5% +6.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIANOH
Possessions8385
Possession Minutes24.023.9
Points89100
Rebounds3745
Assists2023
Steals77
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (0)33 (2)
Field Goals31-7234-76
At-the-Rim FG10-1813-19
Midrange FG13-3311-30
2-Point FG23-5124-49
3-Point FG8-2110-27
Free Throws19-2622-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'8" 235 · 28
42.4
12
55%
5
2
0
0
0
4
1
4
4-5
80%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
40.9
30
58%
6
10
1
2
5
2
1
5
12-15
80%
9-18
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
35.6
10
36%
4
2
1
0
1
4
1
3
2-2
100%
4-13
31%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 31
35.6
10
63%
8
0
0
1
2
1
2
6
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 190 · 22
27.0
4
50%
3
3
1
0
1
5
0
3
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
23.6
14
88%
3
2
2
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
18.1
3
25%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26
11.2
6
75%
3
1
2
0
0
5
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 192 · 23
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
#22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · G · 6'2" 205 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
54%
37
20
7
3
10
0
8
29
19-26
73%
23-51
45%
8-21
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.