Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Cavaliers	58%	97	106	120.5	88	86.4
	18	Bulls	42%	94	97	109.0	89	90.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 24	39.2	41	57%	13	4	0	0	2	1	4	9	11-13	85%	9-22	41%	4-7	57%
Mo Williams G · 6'1" 198 · 26	36.8	11	46%	2	7	4	0	3	4	0	2	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
Delonte West G · 6'3" 180 · 25	33.5	2	25%	2	1	0	0	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Ben Wallace F · 6'9" 240 · 34	25.3	7	70%	4	1	0	1	0	0	1	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas C · 7'3" 260 · 33	21.7	16	53%	6	2	0	1	1	2	3	3	4-4	100%	6-13	46%	0-0	-

Anderson Varejao F · 6'11" 260 · 26	29.2	13	65%	4	1	1	3	1	5	1	3	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Daniel Gibson G · 6'2" 200 · 23	25.7	8	57%	2	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Wally Szczerbiak G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32	23.4	6	60%	1	1	0	0	1	3	1	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20	5.1	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Sasha Pavlovic G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tarence Kinsey G · 6'6" 189 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lorenzen Wright F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Darnell Jackson #0 · F · 6'9" 253 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Eric Snow #20 · G · 6'3" 205 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jawad Williams #31 · F · 6'9" 225 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	54%	36	18	6	5	11	0	12	24	24-28	86%	32-66	48%	6-16	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

5 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 24	39.2	41	57%	13	4	0	0	2	1	4	9	11-13	85%	9-22	41%	4-7	57%
Mo Williams G · 6'1" 198 · 26	36.8	11	46%	2	7	4	0	3	4	0	2	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
Delonte West G · 6'3" 180 · 25	33.5	2	25%	2	1	0	0	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Ben Wallace F · 6'9" 240 · 34	25.3	7	70%	4	1	0	1	0	0	1	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas C · 7'3" 260 · 33	21.7	16	53%	6	2	0	1	1	2	3	3	4-4	100%	6-13	46%	0-0	-

Anderson Varejao F · 6'11" 260 · 26	29.2	13	65%	4	1	1	3	1	5	1	3	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Daniel Gibson G · 6'2" 200 · 23	25.7	8	57%	2	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Wally Szczerbiak G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32	23.4	6	60%	1	1	0	0	1	3	1	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20	5.1	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Sasha Pavlovic G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tarence Kinsey G · 6'6" 189 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lorenzen Wright F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Darnell Jackson #0 · F · 6'9" 253 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Eric Snow #20 · G · 6'3" 205 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jawad Williams #31 · F · 6'9" 225 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	54%	36	18	6	5	11	0	12	24	24-28	86%	32-66	48%	6-16	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

18 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 24	45.3	20	53%	7	0	0	1	2	1	3	4	4-4	100%	8-17	47%	0-0	-
Derrick Rose G · 6'3" 190 · 20	44.0	17	37%	5	9	1	0	3	2	3	2	3-4	75%	7-19	37%	0-2	0%
Ben Gordon G · 6'3" 205 · 26	38.9	29	63%	4	3	0	0	3	1	0	4	8-9	89%	9-15	60%	1-4	25%
Tyrus Thomas F · 6'10" 225 · 22	23.6	7	32%	8	1	1	3	1	5	6	2	1-2	50%	3-10	30%	0-0	-
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 24	8.4	4	50%	4	0	0	0	0	1	3	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Andres Nocioni · 6'7" 225 · 29	37.8	16	62%	5	0	1	1	4	5	1	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	4-7	57%
Joakim Noah C · 6'11" 230 · 24	26.2	4	100%	3	4	1	2	1	4	1	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Thabo Sefolosha F · 6'7" 220 · 25	15.8	0	0%	2	0	1	2	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 27	\| DND- Right Ankle Sprain
Kirk Hinrich G · 6'4" 190 · 28	\| DND - Torn Ulnar Collateral Ligament
Demetris Nichols F · 6'8" 216 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Cedric Simmons F · 6'9" 235 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Michael Ruffin #51 · F-C · 6'8" 248 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Larry Hughes #32 · G · 6'5" 185 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	50%	38	17	5	9	14	0	17	21	20-23	87%	31-72	43%	5-13	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	CHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.07 53.5%

CHI

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

21

39

54%

CHI

15

33

45%

Midrange

CLE

11

27

41%

CHI

16

39

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

6

9.0

16

38%

56%

CHI

5

7.5

13

38%

58%

Free Throws

CLE

24

28

86%

CHI

20

23

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	41	57%	20.5 / 36
Z. Ilgauskas	16	53%	8.0 / 15
A. Varejao	13	65%	6.5 / 10
M. Williams	11	46%	5.5 / 12
D. Gibson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
B. Wallace	7	70%	3.5 / 5
W. Szczerbiak	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. West	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Hickson	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Gordon	29	63%	14.5 / 23
L. Deng	20	53%	10.0 / 19
D. Rose	17	37%	8.5 / 23
A. Nocioni	16	62%	8.0 / 13
T. Thomas	7	32%	3.5 / 11
A. Gray	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Noah	4	100%	2.0 / 2
T. Sefolosha	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 112.0 13 108.4	CLE 120.5 +11.5 CHI 109.0
Pace	25 89.1 10 93.2	CLE 86.4 CHI 90.6 +4.2
Avg. Poss. Time	1 17.2 25 15.1	CLE 16.7 CHI 15.9 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 51.9% 21 49.3%	CLE 50.0% +4.7% CHI 45.3%
TO %	6 13.4% 19 14.7%	CLE 11.3% −1.5% CHI 12.8%
ORB %	12 27.7% 6 28.0%	CLE 36.4% CHI 41.5% +5.1%
FTrt	12 31.2 17 30.0	CLE 34.1 +7.0 CHI 27.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 55.0% 18 55.4%	CLE 47.4% +0.2% CHI 47.2%
STL %	11 8.1% 13 7.9%	CLE 6.8% +1.2% CHI 5.6%
BLK %	5 8.7% 7 8.3%	CLE 6.9% CHI 13.6% +6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 54.3% 20 52.6%	CLE 53.5% +4.0% CHI 49.5%
Rim FG%	2 62.0% 25 56.2%	CLE 53.8% +8.3% CHI 45.5%
Mid FG%	14 40.8% 15 40.7%	CLE 40.7% CHI 41.0% +0.3%
3P %	2 39.3% 6 38.1%	CLE 37.5% CHI 38.5% +1.0%
FT %	21 75.7% 7 79.6%	CLE 85.7% CHI 87.0% +1.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 30.3% 16 35.0%	CLE 47.6% +8.7% CHI 38.8%
Mid Att. %	19 43.8% 25 46.2%	CLE 32.9% −13.0% CHI 45.9%
3P Att. %	4 25.9% 24 18.9%	CLE 19.5% +4.2% CHI 15.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CLE	CHI
Possessions	88	89
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	106	97
Rebounds	36	38
Assists	18	17
Steals	6	5
Blocks	5	9
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (8)	17 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (5)	21 (3)
Field Goals	38-82	36-85
At-the-Rim FG	21-39	15-33
Midrange FG	11-27	16-39
2-Point FG	32-66	31-72
3-Point FG	6-16	5-13
Free Throws	24-28	20-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg