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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 9, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Rockets34%9582
2Lakers66%100111
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.0
32.5
38.5
8
31%
4
2
4
2
1
2
2
2
2-4
50%
0-6
5-11
0%
45%
2-5
40%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.5
32.3
22.2
12
52%
9
0
3
1
0
0
1
8
6-6
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
50%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.5
32.1
32.2
3
14%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-8
6-13
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.3
27.6
31.3
7
39%
3
1
2
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
41%
1-5
20%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.2
27.1
35.5
12
47%
8
0
1
0
2
5
5
3
0-4
0%
6-11
7-14
55%
50%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.1
26.0
20.5
12
60%
6
2
0
1
0
1
5
1
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
52%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.8
25.3
16.2
20
65%
1
4
0
0
0
5
1
0
1-1
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
44%
3-6
50%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.0
15.4
4.2
7
48%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
2-5
0-1
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.9
11.1
21.6
1
114%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.4
8.2
16.7
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 24.9
2.5
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.3
1.9
0
0-0
42%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.7
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.0
34.5
29.0
13
51%
7
2
2
0
3
1
3
4
5-6
83%
4-10
4-8
40%
57%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.2
33.0
34.4
23
61%
3
3
2
1
2
4
2
1
2-4
50%
9-15
7-14
60%
49%
1-2
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.3
33.0
33.2
20
79%
15
3
0
0
3
4
2
13
6-6
100%
7-10
5-10
70%
52%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.3
22.2
28.8
6
30%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-9
2-5
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.0
20.3
24.7
3
38%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.9
25.8
18.9
16
81%
3
6
2
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
3-5
60%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.4
25.2
20.2
8
52%
8
3
3
1
0
1
4
4
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
1-3
33%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.0
23.6
27.8
9
56%
4
2
2
1
2
4
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
52%
1-1
100%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.7
15.0
13.8
9
131%
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
2-2
100%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
2.5
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.8
2.5
3.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.3
2.5
3.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.9
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.