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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 10, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Thunder16%9199
15Pacers84%104107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.1
40.2
35.3
37
60%
8
2
0
1
3
4
2
6
9-9
100%
11-24
7-16
46%
45%
2-3
67%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
33.4
35.0
14
47%
7
1
0
1
0
1
4
3
2-2
100%
3-10
4-10
30%
43%
2-4
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.0
31.8
22.9
11
51%
8
1
2
0
0
3
3
5
1-2
50%
5-10
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.4
30.7
29.9
4
18%
2
9
0
1
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
2-10
4-9
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.8
17.2
19.4
4
41%
8
0
1
1
0
0
2
6
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
44%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.1
29.4
25.2
2
15%
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-4
50%
0-5
4-8
0%
44%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.0
25.6
21.6
6
26%
2
4
2
1
1
3
0
2
3-4
75%
0-7
3-8
0%
40%
1-3
33%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.3
19.3
23.8
12
75%
5
0
0
1
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
6-8
3-7
75%
46%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.9
12.6
6.4
9
85%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
3-3
100%
3-4
1-1
75%
48%
0-0
-
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.5
6.6
0
1-2
45%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.8
3.5
0
0-1
42%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 22.7
2.1
0
0-0
43%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.2
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.2
Steven Hill
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.6
39.5
33.2
24
60%
7
10
2
1
1
2
2
5
2-2
100%
8-17
6-12
47%
48%
2-2
100%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.8
36.2
28.6
15
63%
5
3
0
1
4
2
1
4
7-9
78%
4-7
3-5
57%
54%
0-1
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.8
36.1
33.8
14
50%
4
1
2
2
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.6
30.1
35.7
20
52%
7
2
1
1
2
2
2
5
5-7
71%
6-11
5-10
55%
50%
1-5
20%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.5
13.4
29.8
0
0%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.0
32.1
24.7
11
63%
6
2
2
1
0
3
0
6
3-4
75%
4-6
3-5
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
18.0
19.3
4
29%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 21.9
10.3
15.9
8
55%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-3
0%
4-6
2-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.7
10.1
1.1
2
50%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.5
8.1
1.5
4
67%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
57%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.7
6.1
13.7
5
125%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.4
1.6
0
0-0
49%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.4
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.2
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.