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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 10, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Nets24%9094
13Heat76%10099
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.8
39.5
34.5
22
58%
4
4
1
1
1
4
1
3
6-7
86%
5-10
5-11
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.5
38.5
26.1
18
68%
5
4
1
1
0
5
1
4
3-3
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
45%
1-2
50%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.0
37.0
23.7
24
88%
10
4
0
1
1
2
2
8
5-6
83%
2-5
3-7
40%
42%
5-6
83%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.0
33.9
26.4
5
37%
6
2
2
1
3
1
2
4
1-4
25%
2-5
3-7
40%
53%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.4
33.6
26.7
11
61%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
3-6
50%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.3
21.1
25.0
12
43%
4
1
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-9
2-5
33%
43%
2-5
40%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.6
14.1
15.4
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.7
12.8
16.9
2
50%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.3
9.5
12.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.5
6.4
0
1-1
44%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.2
6.0
0
1-1
48%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.8
2.8
0
0-1
40%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 21.8
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.7
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.8
41.8
35.9
33
71%
2
5
4
2
1
6
0
2
11-12
92%
5-11
8-16
45%
51%
4-7
57%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.8
41.4
32.7
19
47%
6
4
0
1
0
2
4
2
3-5
60%
8-18
6-12
44%
50%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.4
37.4
36.1
9
58%
8
1
2
1
0
0
2
6
3-4
75%
3-6
5-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.5
27.1
28.5
7
54%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
2-5
40%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.2
20.6
12.3
3
38%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
1-4
25%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.5
33.7
21.3
15
68%
4
1
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
3-7
43%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.1
21.6
19.2
9
68%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.3
16.4
1.6
4
42%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
2-4
50%
1-3
0-0
33%
48%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.5
33.5
2
5-8
56%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.0
10.1
0
1-2
49%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.9
9.4
0
1-3
49%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 23.2
6.3
0
1-2
47%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.5
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.9
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.