Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Trail Blazers	36%	93	104	115.6	90	83.0
	14	Heat	64%	97	96	104.3	92	100.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 23	38.4	14	37%	7	2	4	0	2	4	5	2	2-5	40%	6-17	35%	0-0	-
Brandon Roy G · 6'6" 211 · 24	36.0	22	58%	5	2	0	0	3	0	2	3	10-13	77%	6-13	46%	0-0	-
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 29	23.9	8	80%	1	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 29	21.8	7	88%	10	1	0	1	0	0	3	7	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Nicolas Batum F · 6'7" 230 · 20	14.9	6	43%	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-3	0%

Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 24	29.4	25	83%	3	2	2	1	2	2	0	3	8-8	100%	4-4	100%	3-7	43%
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 24	29.2	10	36%	8	2	0	1	1	2	1	7	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	1-4	25%
Sergio Rodriguez G · 6'3" 176 · 22	18.7	5	250%	2	5	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Greg Oden C · 7'0" 273 · 21	16.4	3	38%	2	0	0	2	2	2	1	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Channing Frye F · 6'11" 255 · 25	11.4	4	67%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ike Diogu F · 6'9" 250 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Shavlik Randolph #42 · F · 6'10" 236 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Martell Webster #8 · F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Raef LaFrentz #9 · C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	55%	40	18	8	6	12	0	12	28	23-31	74%	30-59	51%	7-19	37%

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16 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 23	38.4	14	37%	7	2	4	0	2	4	5	2	2-5	40%	6-17	35%	0-0	-
Brandon Roy G · 6'6" 211 · 24	36.0	22	58%	5	2	0	0	3	0	2	3	10-13	77%	6-13	46%	0-0	-
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 29	23.9	8	80%	1	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 29	21.8	7	88%	10	1	0	1	0	0	3	7	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Nicolas Batum F · 6'7" 230 · 20	14.9	6	43%	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-3	0%

Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 24	29.4	25	83%	3	2	2	1	2	2	0	3	8-8	100%	4-4	100%	3-7	43%
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 24	29.2	10	36%	8	2	0	1	1	2	1	7	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	1-4	25%
Sergio Rodriguez G · 6'3" 176 · 22	18.7	5	250%	2	5	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Greg Oden C · 7'0" 273 · 21	16.4	3	38%	2	0	0	2	2	2	1	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Channing Frye F · 6'11" 255 · 25	11.4	4	67%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ike Diogu F · 6'9" 250 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Shavlik Randolph #42 · F · 6'10" 236 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Martell Webster #8 · F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Raef LaFrentz #9 · C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	55%	40	18	8	6	12	0	12	28	23-31	74%	30-59	51%	7-19	37%

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14 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Udonis Haslem C · 6'8" 235 · 28	38.3	8	50%	11	1	0	0	1	2	2	9	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 27	37.6	36	60%	6	8	2	3	4	4	1	5	11-15	73%	11-17	65%	1-5	20%
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 20	33.3	14	70%	3	1	0	1	3	4	0	3	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	2-2	100%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 22	30.8	7	50%	1	1	2	0	5	2	0	1	5-6	83%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Yakhouba Diawara F · 6'7" 225 · 26	11.5	5	83%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

Daequan Cook G · 6'5" 210 · 22	34.3	11	39%	5	1	2	0	3	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-9	33%
Chris Quinn G · 6'2" 175 · 25	29.8	10	71%	1	5	0	0	0	3	0	1	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 26	13.2	2	50%	5	0	1	0	1	1	3	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Mark Blount C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33	11.3	3	50%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Shawn Marion G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31	\| DND - Left Groin Strain
Marcus Banks G · 6'2" 205 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Shaun Livingston G · 6'7" 192 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jamaal Magloire #21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
James Jones #22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Dorell Wright #1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	55%	35	17	7	4	17	0	7	28	19-24	79%	25-49	51%	9-23	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.11 55.3%

MIA

1.10 55.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

17

26

65%

MIA

14

22

64%

Midrange

POR

13

33

39%

MIA

11

27

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

7

10.5

19

37%

55%

MIA

9

13.5

23

39%

59%

Free Throws

POR

23

31

74%

MIA

19

24

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Fernandez	25	83%	12.5 / 15
B. Roy	22	58%	11.0 / 19
L. Aldridge	14	37%	7.0 / 19
T. Outlaw	10	36%	5.0 / 14
S. Blake	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Przybilla	7	88%	3.5 / 4
N. Batum	6	43%	3.0 / 7
S. Rodriguez	5	250%	2.5 / 1
C. Frye	4	67%	2.0 / 3
G. Oden	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	36	60%	18.0 / 30
M. Beasley	14	70%	7.0 / 10
D. Cook	11	39%	5.5 / 14
C. Quinn	10	71%	5.0 / 7
U. Haslem	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. Chalmers	7	50%	3.5 / 7
Y. Diawara	5	83%	2.5 / 3
M. Blount	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Anthony	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 113.3 19 107.6	POR 115.6 +11.2 MIA 104.3
Pace	30 87.1 23 90.2	POR 83.0 MIA 100.5 +17.5
Avg. Poss. Time	2 17.2 7 16.3	POR 17.4 MIA 14.3 −3.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 51.1% 16 50.0%	POR 51.9% MIA 53.5% +1.6%
TO %	11 13.8% 3 13.1%	POR 11.6% −7.1% MIA 18.7%
ORB %	1 32.6% 24 24.6%	POR 30.0% +10.0% MIA 20.0%
FTrt	14 30.6 24 28.2	POR 39.7 +6.4 MIA 33.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 55.2% 22 55.1%	POR 48.6% MIA 50.0% +1.4%
STL %	18 7.7% 5 8.7%	POR 8.9% +1.3% MIA 7.6%
BLK %	12 8.0% 2 9.2%	POR 12.2% +5.4% MIA 6.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.64 and 2.64.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 53.6% 21 52.6%	POR 55.3% +0.1% MIA 55.2%
Rim FG%	8 59.5% 9 59.5%	POR 65.4% +1.8% MIA 63.6%
Mid FG%	13 40.8% 8 41.8%	POR 39.4% MIA 40.7% +1.3%
3P %	4 38.3% 22 35.7%	POR 36.8% MIA 39.1% +2.3%
FT %	18 76.6% 23 75.4%	POR 74.2% MIA 79.2% +5.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 33.3% 25 30.3%	POR 33.3% +2.8% MIA 30.6%
Mid Att. %	16 42.7% 22 45.2%	POR 42.3% MIA 37.5% −4.8%
3P Att. %	12 23.9% 8 24.5%	POR 24.4% MIA 31.9% +7.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	MIA
Possessions	90	92
Possession Minutes	26.0	22.0
Points	104	96
Rebounds	40	35
Assists	18	17
Steals	8	7
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	17 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	7 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (0)	28 (3)
Field Goals	37-78	34-72
At-the-Rim FG	17-26	14-22
Midrange FG	13-33	11-27
2-Point FG	30-59	25-49
3-Point FG	7-19	9-23
Free Throws	23-31	19-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg