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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 12, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Spurs53%9278
27Bucks47%9182
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.6
34.7
34.8
24
54%
5
2
0
1
3
4
2
3
4-5
80%
10-20
8-16
50%
50%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.2
31.2
35.1
6
30%
5
4
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-5
3-7
0%
47%
2-5
40%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.5
22.2
23.7
4
40%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.3
16.4
20.2
3
30%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.6
16.4
22.0
1
57%
5
1
0
0
0
0
3
2
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
57%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.7
30.1
22.7
19
79%
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
44%
3-6
50%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.4
28.3
18.6
9
45%
6
3
0
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
1-6
17%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.4
27.2
23.4
4
67%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.8
20.1
9.1
4
41%
1
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.1
13.3
11.2
4
40%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
47%
0-0
-
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.1
8.0
0
1-1
45%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.6
4.4
0
0-1
49%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.0
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.5
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.0
42.5
24.7
10
50%
17
4
3
1
0
0
7
10
0-0
-
5-10
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.4
38.7
33.6
19
46%
9
1
1
1
0
1
2
7
6-8
75%
5-14
5-10
36%
49%
1-3
33%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.2
34.5
28.9
11
52%
7
0
0
1
0
3
3
4
5-6
83%
3-8
3-6
38%
49%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
34.3
29.0
7
36%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-3
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.7
31.1
32.4
10
46%
3
3
2
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
3-8
3-7
38%
44%
1-2
50%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
24.1
27.4
13
71%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
3-5
60%
5-6
4-8
83%
45%
0-1
0%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.9
12.0
11.2
4
40%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.2
10.8
27.3
6
50%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.5
6.6
4.0
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.7
5.5
11.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.8
5.8
0
1-2
49%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.4
4.0
0
0-1
46%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.5
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.2
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.