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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 12, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Magic79%102109
30Thunder21%9192
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.9
38.1
35.9
30
56%
19
3
0
1
10
1
5
14
6-13
46%
12-21
7-12
57%
59%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.8
35.2
30.3
17
71%
10
4
0
1
0
1
0
10
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
3-5
60%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
35.0
36.6
13
43%
3
0
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
50%
1-4
25%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 29.7
34.0
37.9
15
44%
2
7
1
1
1
2
0
2
9-9
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
48%
0-5
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
32.9
23.0
17
70%
5
0
0
1
1
1
0
5
5-5
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
2-5
40%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
16.1
14.4
4
50%
7
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
13.9
11.7
4
50%
1
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.1
12.8
15.8
4
50%
1
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.5
11.7
27.1
3
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
1-2
50%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.4
3.5
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.9
3.5
3.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 24.7
3.4
2.1
0
0%
2
0
1
0
3
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24.7
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.5
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 33.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
40.5
33.8
25
56%
10
0
1
1
0
0
0
10
8-10
80%
4-12
4-10
33%
44%
3-6
50%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.1
33.1
26.3
12
51%
2
1
0
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.4
31.9
29.7
12
48%
4
8
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-1
0%
6-11
4-9
55%
44%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.0
29.7
25.8
6
44%
8
0
1
1
2
1
1
7
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
50%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.8
10.6
18.5
8
67%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
45%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.0
30.0
22.6
13
29%
5
4
0
1
1
3
5
0
7-8
88%
3-17
3-8
18%
42%
0-2
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.3
19.5
21.8
6
43%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.9
18.2
8.8
3
39%
7
0
0
0
1
0
1
6
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.8
18.0
2.6
2
17%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
42%
0-1
0%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.5
3.5
4.9
1
57%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Steven Hill
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.0
2.4
11.3
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 22.7
2.4
1.6
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.1
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.2
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.