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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 12, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Kings33%93103
25Clippers67%9898
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.6
40.9
29.1
16
74%
11
8
1
1
1
0
2
9
1-2
50%
6-9
3-7
67%
47%
1-1
100%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.9
40.0
37.5
13
34%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-13
5-10
15%
49%
3-6
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.4
38.1
30.8
30
69%
5
7
2
1
0
1
3
2
4-4
100%
13-17
4-9
76%
46%
0-3
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.3
33.5
27.6
16
63%
11
0
0
1
0
1
2
9
4-6
67%
6-10
4-9
60%
49%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.0
23.4
25.2
8
84%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
4-4
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
56%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.5
27.7
26.5
7
51%
5
2
0
1
4
2
2
3
1-2
50%
3-5
4-8
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.7
14.8
14.0
6
50%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
42%
0-1
0%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.1
9.7
15.6
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.7
8.0
3.8
5
125%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
4.0
6.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.5
8.5
0
1-2
43%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.3
2.7
0
0-0
45%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.9
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 29.6
37.4
33.6
12
35%
2
11
0
2
0
2
1
1
4-5
80%
4-11
5-10
36%
50%
0-4
0%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.9
33.2
28.1
20
52%
3
0
0
1
3
3
1
2
6-7
86%
4-14
4-9
29%
49%
2-2
100%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 33.2
30.6
30.2
10
56%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
3-5
4-8
60%
48%
1-3
33%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 34.6
30.1
26.1
13
61%
4
2
1
1
4
1
2
2
5-6
83%
4-8
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.5
27.7
33.7
8
55%
6
0
0
1
1
4
2
4
2-3
67%
3-6
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 29.1
22.9
20.2
16
89%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
4-5
80%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.7
21.3
19.4
12
76%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
49%
2-4
50%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 19.9
13.5
17.9
0
0%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-1
0%
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.3
12.7
11.2
4
41%
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-2
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Taylor
G · 6'2" 165 · 22.8
10.7
9.7
3
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 32.5
10.8
0
1-2
50%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.5
5.8
0
1-1
43%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.3
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.