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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 13, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Mavericks59%10091
22Bulls41%9898
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.5
39.0
31.3
21
40%
11
0
0
1
0
2
5
6
6-7
86%
6-20
6-12
30%
47%
1-3
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.4
38.0
36.5
12
33%
6
5
0
1
1
2
1
5
2-3
67%
5-14
7-15
36%
49%
0-3
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.6
37.4
35.8
9
65%
8
4
2
2
1
5
1
7
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.2
32.9
36.3
16
51%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
50%
2-5
40%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.3
30.4
22.9
16
59%
18
1
1
0
3
2
7
11
4-6
67%
6-11
2-4
55%
57%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.5
13.3
14.5
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.0
12.7
20.6
4
34%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
42%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.8
12.3
20.1
3
32%
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
1-4
25%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.8
11.3
22.4
2
33%
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
43%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
10.8
9.9
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.3
2.0
1.9
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.4
6.4
0
1-1
42%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.7
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.1
41.9
39.3
16
43%
9
6
1
1
0
0
2
7
2-4
50%
7-16
7-15
44%
47%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.6
41.7
35.4
35
69%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
9-10
90%
10-18
5-10
56%
46%
2-3
67%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
36.4
35.5
20
47%
9
2
2
1
0
1
1
8
4-5
80%
8-19
6-12
42%
50%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.1
32.0
13.2
8
37%
8
0
1
0
0
0
1
7
2-2
100%
3-10
2-5
30%
47%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.7
4.0
23.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.2
33.9
22.2
8
59%
8
0
2
1
2
2
5
3
4-4
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
43%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.0
28.5
28.7
4
26%
4
0
0
0
2
1
0
4
4-6
67%
0-1
3-6
0%
48%
0-4
0%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.8
13.1
22.6
5
50%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
41%
1-1
100%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.9
8.6
13.7
2
35%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.5
18.0
1
2-3
47%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
0.9
0
0-0
43%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.9
0.1
0
0-0
0%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 24.2
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.8
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.