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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 13, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Pistons61%99107
19Warriors39%96102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.7
46.0
39.2
10
43%
16
3
1
1
1
2
1
15
2-4
50%
4-9
5-11
44%
48%
0-1
0%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.4
42.8
37.8
23
45%
5
9
2
2
0
3
0
5
5-6
83%
6-20
5-11
30%
47%
2-3
67%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.7
40.3
35.0
24
59%
6
7
4
1
0
3
2
4
10-12
83%
7-14
6-13
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.2
39.2
36.2
19
60%
11
3
1
1
3
3
1
10
0-2
0%
5-9
4-7
56%
48%
3-6
50%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.7
9.4
14.5
2
33%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.1
27.6
14.1
11
62%
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.7
12.5
15.5
6
61%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.9
11.7
13.0
6
69%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
2-3
67%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.5
7.8
18.2
6
60%
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
56%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.4
2.8
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.8
1.5
0
0-0
49%
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.3
1.2
0
0-0
50%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.6
45.9
39.1
15
35%
5
9
0
1
0
3
1
4
4-6
67%
4-15
4-9
27%
45%
1-4
25%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
44.1
36.0
15
42%
5
2
1
1
0
2
2
3
3-4
75%
6-14
5-9
43%
49%
0-2
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.6
35.9
34.6
17
51%
19
2
1
1
1
1
7
12
3-6
50%
7-14
6-10
50%
59%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.6
34.6
26.0
17
51%
6
1
2
1
0
4
2
4
3-4
75%
7-14
3-6
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.0
28.5
34.6
13
53%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
9-12
75%
2-6
5-10
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.1
17.4
24.1
9
83%
6
0
1
1
2
1
2
4
1-1
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.1
14.9
9.8
8
45%
4
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
2-2
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 25.8
11.6
16.7
6
77%
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.9
4.3
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Nelson
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.0
2.8
11.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.3
14.2
0
2-5
47%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.6
7.0
0
1-1
44%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.7
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.