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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 14, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Jazz62%9396
24Bobcats38%89104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.7
39.5
33.9
10
29%
3
4
3
2
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
4-15
5-9
27%
55%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.0
33.2
33.0
26
63%
15
1
1
1
0
2
7
8
8-8
100%
9-17
7-13
53%
54%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 19.7
29.7
14.3
9
41%
10
1
0
0
5
1
6
4
1-2
50%
4-10
2-4
40%
50%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.7
25.6
16.7
6
38%
2
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.4
23.5
12.4
14
70%
0
3
2
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
44%
2-4
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.8
33.1
26.8
12
51%
5
0
0
1
2
1
1
4
2-2
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.0
27.2
14.8
8
52%
3
4
2
1
0
3
1
2
4-6
67%
2-5
1-3
40%
42%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.5
14.1
10.8
4
100%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.7
14.0
19.9
7
79%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
2-2
100%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.0
2.1
0
0-0
44%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.9
1.9
0
0-0
49%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.8
1.3
0
0-0
47%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.5
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.4
36.5
28.6
23
66%
3
6
3
1
0
2
0
3
8-10
80%
6-11
4-8
55%
44%
1-2
50%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
34.5
35.8
22
57%
9
2
3
2
1
4
4
5
12-14
86%
5-10
4-8
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 26.1
24.3
31.4
6
39%
7
0
1
1
3
4
5
2
2-4
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
51%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.6
18.8
10.6
8
82%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.2
18.6
13.7
7
70%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
1-2
50%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.3
24.4
21.1
15
84%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
41%
3-5
60%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 21.0
23.8
23.2
6
63%
4
4
1
1
0
0
2
2
4-4
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.3
21.4
27.8
6
43%
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.1
15.3
11.7
5
51%
4
0
0
0
2
0
3
1
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.0
14.6
4.6
6
33%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-9
1-1
33%
43%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 20.5
7.8
4.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 31.2
6.6
0
1-2
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.8
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.5
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.