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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 14, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Hawks49%97108
22Nets51%98115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.4
41.6
34.0
21
53%
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
2
4-6
67%
4-13
4-9
31%
47%
3-4
75%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.4
39.2
39.5
32
86%
9
5
2
1
0
3
2
7
5-6
83%
6-8
6-13
75%
48%
5-8
63%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.5
35.4
30.8
6
30%
11
4
0
1
0
3
2
9
2-2
100%
2-9
4-8
22%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.5
25.5
31.3
12
55%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
45%
4-7
57%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.8
12.6
19.8
4
50%
2
0
0
1
2
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.3
37.2
23.0
21
67%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
5-6
83%
5-8
3-7
63%
44%
2-5
40%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.0
19.4
24.4
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
18.6
17.7
3
80%
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.8
10.4
6.3
9
83%
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-1
0%
3-4
1-1
75%
45%
1-1
100%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
0.1
1.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 22.9
4.2
0
1-1
49%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.5
1.7
0
0-0
47%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.9
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 23.8
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.7
39.5
34.1
30
67%
6
8
2
1
0
1
3
3
12-12
100%
6-13
4-9
46%
50%
2-4
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.8
37.4
37.1
26
48%
8
7
1
1
0
2
2
6
12-16
75%
7-18
6-12
39%
48%
0-2
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.6
34.2
17.0
25
67%
9
2
2
0
4
0
6
3
3-4
75%
11-17
2-4
65%
48%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.5
22.2
26.1
0
0%
6
0
0
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.1
19.2
28.4
3
31%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-4
3-8
25%
43%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.5
26.3
8.3
15
90%
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
2-3
67%
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
3-3
100%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.5
25.4
32.0
10
100%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
46%
2-2
100%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.3
21.9
26.4
2
17%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.2
13.8
6.4
4
69%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.7
13.8
0
1-2
46%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.3
8.9
0
0-1
52%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.8
1.4
0
0-0
41%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.0
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.0
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.