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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 14, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Thunder27%99106
21Knicks73%107116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
33.8
35.8
16
45%
8
4
2
1
0
4
1
7
2-2
100%
7-15
5-11
47%
44%
0-2
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.1
33.3
36.5
23
46%
2
2
1
1
1
2
0
2
7-9
78%
8-20
8-18
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.1
29.1
27.2
14
88%
6
1
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
7-8
3-7
88%
50%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.9
27.3
12.6
4
40%
13
0
0
0
2
0
2
11
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
51%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.4
25.9
30.3
9
41%
3
8
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
4-10
4-10
40%
45%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.1
36.5
28.5
11
43%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-4
25%
5-11
4-9
45%
45%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.0
27.6
25.1
19
63%
10
6
1
1
1
3
5
5
6-7
86%
5-8
4-10
63%
42%
1-4
25%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.3
16.1
20.8
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.8
10.3
15.6
6
50%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.8
9.1
0
1-3
43%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.5
3.6
0
1-1
47%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 22.7
2.2
0
0-1
45%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.2
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.2
Steven Hill
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.7
43.6
35.6
29
58%
2
7
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-7
57%
5-13
4-9
38%
46%
5-9
56%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.2
40.2
34.5
7
36%
6
8
2
1
0
3
3
3
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-4
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.3
38.4
33.2
29
55%
19
0
1
1
0
3
6
13
11-12
92%
9-18
7-14
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.5
30.9
28.3
12
51%
7
2
2
1
1
0
0
7
4-4
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
49%
0-3
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 28.6
21.3
26.2
5
50%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
43%
1-4
25%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 25.5
27.8
24.8
18
81%
6
1
0
1
1
2
0
6
4-7
57%
7-8
4-7
88%
56%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 24.5
25.7
29.6
15
51%
4
5
3
1
0
1
2
2
2-4
50%
5-9
4-7
56%
49%
1-4
25%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 34.0
12.2
8.7
1
17%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.7
7.1
0
1-1
46%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.3
6.8
0
1-2
41%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.3
2.2
0
0-1
48%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.0
0.9
0
0-0
48%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 31.7
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.0
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.