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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 14, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Bucks49%94101
29Grizzlies51%9596
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.4
48.6
34.8
26
43%
10
2
1
1
0
3
1
9
8-9
89%
6-22
5-11
27%
49%
2-4
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.2
44.2
30.3
19
49%
17
2
1
1
1
3
10
7
7-8
88%
6-16
3-7
38%
49%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.0
39.9
30.9
12
61%
15
0
0
1
2
7
5
10
2-4
50%
5-8
5-9
63%
53%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.8
38.9
31.3
14
55%
6
7
0
1
1
0
1
5
6-6
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
44%
0-3
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
19.8
30.5
2
20%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
36.7
26.0
20
58%
6
4
1
1
0
3
1
5
3-3
100%
7-13
4-8
54%
46%
1-3
33%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.9
13.2
11.5
4
50%
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.7
13.1
8.8
4
67%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.4
6.7
3.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.5
3.9
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.5
5.3
0
1-1
45%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.8
4.4
0
1-1
49%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.2
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.2
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.0
46.4
36.2
25
53%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
6-6
100%
8-15
5-11
53%
47%
1-6
17%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.8
39.1
28.1
18
75%
7
1
1
1
1
3
2
5
8-9
89%
5-8
4-7
63%
53%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.2
37.2
34.6
24
47%
3
0
2
1
1
1
1
2
4-4
100%
7-18
6-11
39%
50%
2-6
33%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.1
34.0
22.8
7
37%
7
4
3
1
1
1
0
7
1-1
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
0-2
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.6
23.2
24.5
2
25%
2
1
2
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
47%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.4
29.6
21.9
8
45%
10
1
2
0
1
2
3
7
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.6
19.0
23.8
2
35%
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.5
18.4
18.1
6
75%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
2-3
67%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.4
13.7
14.8
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.2
4.4
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.9
5.7
0
1-2
46%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.9
5.7
0
0-1
45%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.3
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.