for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 15, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Pacers40%9791
22Bulls60%100104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.5
37.3
19.9
12
51%
13
5
1
0
0
1
1
12
1-2
50%
4-7
2-3
57%
45%
1-4
25%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.6
34.2
35.9
16
42%
7
4
1
1
0
2
3
4
2-2
100%
7-18
6-12
39%
45%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.6
33.8
29.7
15
44%
10
2
1
1
2
4
2
8
5-5
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
48%
2-8
25%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.5
33.8
25.0
12
46%
12
2
0
0
2
2
5
7
0-0
-
6-13
4-8
46%
51%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.9
31.3
34.7
13
44%
3
2
0
1
1
2
2
1
3-4
75%
5-12
5-10
42%
47%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.1
22.7
27.2
10
46%
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
22.1
19.0
4
29%
6
3
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
43%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.8
18.5
26.4
5
36%
5
1
1
1
3
3
2
3
1-2
50%
2-6
3-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 21.9
2.1
10.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.4
2.1
9.2
4
106%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.7
2.1
9.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.5
2.2
0
0-0
53%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.7
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.7
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.1
40.4
39.5
23
69%
4
8
3
1
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
5-10
7-15
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.6
39.5
37.4
19
43%
2
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
7-7
100%
6-15
5-11
40%
47%
0-4
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
35.3
35.5
17
42%
2
4
2
1
0
2
1
1
9-10
90%
4-15
7-13
27%
50%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.1
24.8
21.8
4
29%
10
1
1
1
1
0
2
8
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
48%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.7
22.2
15.2
5
46%
8
2
2
1
1
0
2
6
1-1
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
49%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.0
31.4
28.3
20
77%
11
1
2
0
0
5
1
10
0-0
-
7-9
3-6
78%
48%
2-4
50%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.8
22.5
16.5
12
45%
2
0
3
1
1
0
0
2
4-5
80%
4-10
2-5
40%
41%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.9
10.5
11.5
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.2
6.2
27.0
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
4-9
0%
43%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.5
5.3
11.3
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
1.0
0.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
45%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.0
1.0
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.9
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.8
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.