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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 15, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Hornets44%9082
9Rockets56%9291
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.5
34.6
37.3
12
44%
3
12
1
2
0
3
1
2
8-8
100%
2-9
6-12
22%
49%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.1
33.5
34.1
16
71%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
2-3
67%
7-10
3-6
70%
58%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
31.9
37.9
18
57%
10
0
0
1
0
2
2
8
1-2
50%
7-14
7-15
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.2
24.6
17.9
7
44%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.4
24.3
31.0
3
30%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
1-2
50%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.8
23.4
29.1
7
52%
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.5
19.5
13.6
2
14%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
40%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.9
18.6
11.4
13
57%
2
1
3
0
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
5-10
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.5
16.1
8.8
4
50%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.0
13.4
13.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.5
6.3
0
1-2
44%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.4
4.9
0
1-1
41%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.2
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.5
42.6
35.1
18
60%
9
4
0
1
1
4
3
6
7-7
100%
4-9
6-13
44%
45%
1-3
33%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.0
36.0
37.5
10
43%
4
7
0
2
1
0
0
4
3-4
75%
2-7
4-10
29%
46%
1-3
33%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.2
32.7
35.0
21
70%
6
1
0
0
0
3
1
5
7-7
100%
7-12
6-12
58%
51%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.5
32.7
22.8
12
68%
10
3
2
1
0
3
2
8
2-2
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.8
26.1
30.2
6
39%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
0-3
3-7
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.0
23.0
7.5
5
36%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
46%
1-3
33%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.4
20.0
13.0
5
87%
5
1
1
1
2
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.3
17.4
11.5
10
83%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
2-3
67%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.2
9.5
22.3
4
52%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
54%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.3
17.8
1
1-3
42%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.9
12.4
0
0-1
53%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 24.9
1.3
0
0-0
48%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.7
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.