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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 16, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Magic66%9790
24Bobcats34%9185
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
41.8
36.2
17
50%
6
1
0
1
3
3
0
6
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
50%
3-8
38%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 29.7
37.2
32.2
20
53%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
8-9
89%
6-10
4-8
60%
47%
0-5
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.8
32.5
30.8
15
75%
5
3
2
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
6-8
3-7
75%
49%
1-2
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.9
25.9
38.3
4
35%
7
3
2
1
4
1
0
7
4-6
67%
0-3
7-12
0%
59%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
20.6
29.5
18
63%
4
0
2
1
1
3
2
2
2-3
67%
5-8
3-5
63%
51%
2-5
40%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.5
29.9
21.7
7
51%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
1-5
20%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
28.1
15.2
9
77%
7
0
0
0
2
2
5
2
1-2
50%
4-5
2-3
80%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.1
15.3
15.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
5.2
11.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.4
2.9
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.0
3.2
0
0-1
45%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 24.7
2.1
0
0-0
50%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 33.7
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24.7
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
40.9
34.7
19
57%
9
1
1
2
0
2
0
9
5-6
83%
7-13
4-8
54%
50%
0-1
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.4
38.9
32.0
14
42%
4
6
1
1
1
2
0
4
4-6
67%
5-12
4-9
42%
44%
0-2
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.2
23.9
16.2
6
40%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
1-3
33%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 26.1
22.6
27.8
8
52%
9
1
0
1
1
1
4
5
2-6
33%
3-5
4-7
60%
51%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.6
12.6
14.8
4
40%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
47%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 21.0
26.6
23.1
8
57%
1
3
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.3
21.7
22.5
14
64%
3
1
0
0
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
41%
2-5
40%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.4
21.2
24.3
3
39%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 31.2
13.8
3.8
4
67%
3
0
2
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.1
9.8
13.9
3
32%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
3-4
75%
0-3
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.0
7.5
9.4
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 20.5
5.9
0
1-1
49%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.4
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.5
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.