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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 16, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Spurs57%9290
26Kings43%9088
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.2
38.8
34.3
18
59%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
3-8
38%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.6
35.5
36.4
20
54%
10
4
0
1
3
5
2
8
4-8
50%
8-15
9-17
53%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.7
34.7
27.1
21
59%
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-12
2-5
42%
46%
3-5
60%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.7
26.0
17.4
2
50%
4
2
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
58%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.5
19.6
27.6
4
29%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.4
28.8
21.9
2
50%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.6
27.1
10.5
11
61%
7
1
2
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
50%
3-5
60%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.8
23.1
12.7
10
57%
2
6
0
0
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
43%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.5
6.5
15.4
2
100%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.3
14.9
1
1-2
48%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.1
13.3
0
1-3
48%
Blake Ahearn
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
10.5
0
1-1
43%
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.1
4.8
0
0-1
48%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.5
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.0
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.9
42.0
40.0
31
91%
1
3
2
1
0
3
1
0
8-9
89%
7-9
5-10
78%
49%
3-4
75%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.6
37.6
36.3
10
45%
8
4
1
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
48%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.4
35.0
33.6
16
59%
5
4
3
1
0
5
0
5
6-6
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
48%
0-2
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.3
33.7
25.4
9
32%
7
0
3
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
4-13
4-7
31%
51%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.0
20.4
21.6
2
50%
8
1
0
0
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
57%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.5
24.6
10.7
12
55%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
3-6
50%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.6
20.4
28.8
2
17%
7
0
0
1
2
2
0
7
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
50%
0-2
0%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.1
13.0
13.0
6
60%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.7
8.9
12.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
4.3
4.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.7
4.0
0
0-1
49%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.3
2.2
0
0-0
47%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.8
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.