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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 18, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Bulls17%95109
1Lakers83%108116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.6
36.3
37.7
23
45%
5
4
2
1
0
3
1
4
8-8
100%
3-11
5-12
27%
44%
3-11
27%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.1
35.7
39.0
25
66%
3
9
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
10-16
6-14
63%
43%
1-2
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
26.1
35.0
9
43%
4
1
0
1
0
3
4
0
1-1
100%
4-9
6-13
44%
47%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.2
23.6
23.2
9
48%
7
1
2
1
0
3
1
6
1-1
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
45%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.7
11.6
18.2
2
50%
5
0
0
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.3
31.0
18.2
9
61%
5
3
2
1
3
4
1
4
3-3
100%
3-6
2-6
50%
40%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.0
22.7
29.3
7
56%
8
2
1
0
0
1
1
7
4-5
80%
0-2
3-6
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.9
21.8
11.1
11
51%
5
0
1
0
0
3
4
1
1-4
25%
5-9
2-3
56%
48%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.8
18.8
19.3
6
34%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-6
2-6
33%
39%
0-2
0%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.0
7.4
0.4
3
44%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
0-0
33%
33%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.5
2.5
9.2
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
2.5
1.0
1
57%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.9
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.4
34.1
35.4
34
69%
6
3
0
1
0
3
3
3
6-8
75%
14-21
6-11
67%
53%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.2
30.5
36.6
21
58%
5
6
3
2
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
6-12
8-16
50%
50%
3-6
50%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.1
30.5
31.3
18
63%
9
2
1
0
3
2
3
6
8-10
80%
5-10
5-9
50%
58%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.3
28.6
29.5
9
50%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
43%
1-2
50%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.0
26.3
18.8
5
47%
3
0
1
1
2
2
0
3
3-3
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.0
22.2
24.5
10
56%
8
5
3
1
3
2
3
5
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
53%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.0
19.4
18.2
12
47%
3
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
50%
0-3
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.7
18.9
14.7
3
50%
1
4
4
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.4
18.4
26.5
0
0%
2
3
2
1
0
1
2
0
0-2
0%
0-5
3-6
0%
52%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.8
8.0
1.6
4
40%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
0-0
40%
46%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
3.0
2.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.3
2.4
0
0-1
48%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.9
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.