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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 19, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Wizards37%9887
21Hawks63%10291
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.7
40.2
37.5
32
70%
7
4
3
2
0
1
1
6
4-4
100%
8-14
6-12
57%
47%
4-7
57%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.4
36.9
37.2
18
56%
11
3
1
1
0
2
2
9
0-0
-
6-13
5-11
46%
47%
2-3
67%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.6
33.8
25.4
12
46%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
43%
2-9
22%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 20.8
22.5
25.3
5
51%
5
0
1
1
0
0
3
2
1-2
50%
2-4
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
19.3
9.2
1
17%
2
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.5
28.4
30.1
9
35%
3
2
0
1
0
4
1
2
1-2
50%
4-11
5-10
36%
47%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.2
17.3
16.2
4
40%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.6
16.3
12.6
2
53%
5
1
0
0
2
1
1
4
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.1
14.8
25.9
2
14%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
43%
0-2
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.8
6.2
8.0
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.9
4.5
5.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
7.3
0
0-1
42%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.9
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.0
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.4
45.0
33.8
21
63%
14
4
2
1
1
2
6
8
6-6
100%
6-11
4-9
55%
47%
1-3
33%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.5
41.6
30.2
25
57%
6
3
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
11-18
3-6
61%
46%
1-4
25%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.4
41.4
39.6
19
40%
8
8
1
1
2
7
1
7
3-4
75%
5-14
6-12
36%
49%
2-8
25%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.8
34.1
20.6
4
30%
18
4
1
1
0
4
8
10
2-6
33%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.0
32.9
25.6
5
42%
5
3
2
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
1-3
33%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.3
19.7
23.4
8
34%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-6
3-7
0%
45%
2-5
40%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
16.0
22.2
6
80%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.8
8.8
10.8
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.5
0.4
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 23.8
8.6
0
1-2
48%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 22.9
5.4
0
1-1
49%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
2.3
0
0-0
46%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.0
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.5
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.