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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 19, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Kings12%87105
4Hornets88%10296
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.9
40.2
36.5
29
73%
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
13-16
5-10
81%
48%
0-2
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.6
34.5
33.8
14
69%
8
2
2
1
0
5
1
7
3-5
60%
4-6
3-8
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.7
34.5
7.2
15
76%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
45%
3-4
75%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.4
33.9
30.7
14
54%
4
7
1
1
0
5
1
3
8-9
89%
3-6
4-8
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.3
31.2
30.1
10
45%
6
1
1
1
0
2
5
1
0-0
-
5-11
4-9
45%
47%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.6
28.3
22.7
9
48%
6
2
0
0
1
0
3
3
0-1
0%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
1-2
50%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.7
23.2
17.6
8
57%
4
5
3
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
41%
2-5
40%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.2
14.1
16.2
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-4
100%
40%
0-1
0%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.5
18.4
1
2-4
40%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.0
13.9
0
1-2
55%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
9.0
0
1-2
43%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.3
2.3
0
0-0
44%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.9
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.5
37.0
35.8
20
62%
3
15
4
2
0
4
0
3
6-7
86%
7-10
6-12
70%
54%
0-3
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
35.6
35.3
22
64%
1
3
1
1
0
4
0
1
4-5
80%
9-14
7-14
64%
52%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.1
33.2
33.5
12
58%
10
0
0
1
1
2
6
4
2-3
67%
5-9
4-6
56%
63%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.5
27.9
15.9
10
63%
5
1
2
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
5-7
1-3
71%
44%
0-1
0%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.4
27.7
28.3
7
44%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
1-2
50%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.8
29.0
26.7
6
33%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
53%
0-3
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.9
23.1
13.9
13
73%
3
2
1
0
0
2
3
0
2-2
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.0
14.2
13.6
0
0%
4
1
2
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.5
12.4
11.6
6
50%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
55%
0-1
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.2
20.2
1
2-3
50%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.6
5.5
0
1-1
48%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.4
3.7
0
0-1
46%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.0
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.