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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 19, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Nuggets46%9391
17Spurs54%9481
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 32.2
39.8
30.0
22
92%
5
6
1
1
1
6
0
5
9-9
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
44%
3-5
60%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.5
35.5
31.9
21
54%
9
7
1
1
0
5
0
9
8-10
80%
2-11
6-13
18%
48%
3-4
75%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.9
34.5
28.0
18
62%
7
1
2
1
0
0
1
6
0-1
0%
9-14
4-8
64%
50%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.2
32.6
29.5
16
76%
9
1
1
1
2
1
2
7
6-8
75%
5-7
4-8
71%
55%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.9
17.9
20.3
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.2
25.4
25.0
5
36%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.4
24.1
24.6
5
39%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.9
17.8
25.9
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.4
8.6
16.8
2
50%
4
0
1
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 34.3
2.5
5.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 24.1
1.4
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.4
3.3
0
0-1
44%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.4
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.6
29.5
36.7
12
37%
11
6
0
1
1
2
4
7
4-7
57%
4-13
9-17
31%
51%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.5
29.5
22.7
20
69%
2
1
2
1
0
3
1
1
8-8
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.7
29.3
30.0
13
51%
2
1
2
0
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
5-8
3-6
63%
45%
0-3
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.2
25.1
34.7
8
47%
2
1
1
1
1
4
0
2
1-1
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.7
14.8
18.5
2
69%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
58%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.6
26.6
17.3
8
44%
8
2
1
0
1
0
4
4
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
49%
0-2
0%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.3
21.6
11.9
4
34%
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.4
18.6
24.6
3
24%
1
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
1-3
33%
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.8
18.5
18.7
6
38%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
42%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.1
12.0
10.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.5
7.9
8.4
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
1-3
33%
Blake Ahearn
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
6.4
4.2
2
53%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.3
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.5
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.