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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 19, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bulls38%9574
14Trail Blazers62%99116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.6
30.0
36.6
11
41%
1
3
0
1
0
2
1
0
3-3
100%
4-9
5-11
44%
46%
0-3
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.1
29.8
36.9
6
31%
0
1
1
1
0
3
0
0
4-4
100%
1-7
6-13
14%
47%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.2
25.3
23.6
11
51%
5
1
2
1
0
4
1
4
3-4
75%
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.8
21.1
18.9
8
50%
2
0
1
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-6
57%
41%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.0
20.6
16.4
2
20%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
51%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.0
26.4
26.1
13
47%
4
1
0
0
0
2
3
1
1-2
50%
3-8
2-5
38%
48%
2-5
40%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.3
22.4
24.4
7
33%
7
2
2
1
1
3
4
3
3-4
75%
2-9
3-7
22%
43%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
20.4
6.5
9
65%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
4-5
1-1
80%
47%
0-1
0%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.0
18.2
4.1
0
0%
0
3
3
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-4
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.7
17.1
15.1
4
50%
5
0
1
1
2
0
4
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
8.8
2.0
3
39%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
0-0
33%
46%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
30.6
1
5-11
49%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.9
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.3
28.2
38.1
20
64%
5
2
2
1
0
1
2
3
6-6
100%
7-12
7-14
58%
47%
0-1
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.3
25.6
27.8
11
37%
5
1
1
1
2
1
2
3
3-4
75%
4-13
6-12
31%
48%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 28.7
24.0
24.3
10
53%
1
5
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
1-4
25%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.1
22.9
19.6
14
102%
9
1
1
0
3
0
2
7
2-2
100%
6-6
2-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 19.9
17.9
12.7
9
65%
6
1
2
0
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
2-2
100%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.2
25.1
29.2
9
57%
4
1
3
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.4
24.0
19.9
7
70%
2
9
1
1
0
6
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
1-2
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.5
22.4
10.5
12
61%
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
46%
1-1
100%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 23.6
18.1
30.3
5
50%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 20.8
17.4
25.2
11
57%
10
0
0
1
3
0
5
5
5-6
83%
3-7
4-7
43%
50%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.2
7.2
3.6
1
27%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
7.2
0.9
7
90%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
3-3
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.0
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.0
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.