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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 21, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Magic53%100100
17Pacers47%9998
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.0
44.4
34.1
24
52%
17
1
1
1
5
1
3
14
6-9
67%
9-19
6-11
47%
58%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 29.7
40.7
35.7
3
11%
3
2
2
1
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
1-6
5-10
17%
47%
0-7
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.8
39.1
32.5
22
65%
3
9
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
7-11
4-8
64%
49%
2-5
40%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
37.1
38.5
23
92%
5
0
6
1
0
4
0
5
1-1
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
4-4
100%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
29.8
25.6
10
46%
7
0
1
1
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
51%
2-7
29%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.5
27.2
22.8
6
60%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.1
13.9
14.3
7
72%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
1-1
100%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.0
12.3
2.6
3
75%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
1-1
100%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.4
12.0
16.7
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
8.6
17.3
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
8.0
0
1-2
44%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 24.8
2.5
0
0-1
48%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 33.7
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.5
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.6
41.4
32.6
21
47%
6
3
0
1
1
2
0
6
4-5
80%
4-14
4-9
29%
49%
3-6
50%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.7
40.0
33.0
22
52%
6
4
1
1
1
4
2
4
5-7
71%
7-17
5-12
41%
46%
1-1
100%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.9
39.0
31.3
25
62%
5
0
1
1
1
3
1
4
2-3
67%
10-17
4-9
59%
48%
1-2
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.6
38.0
30.2
5
31%
10
0
0
1
1
0
1
9
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
47%
1-4
25%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.5
31.0
30.9
6
21%
9
8
1
1
1
0
3
6
0-0
-
3-14
6-11
21%
52%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.8
26.4
23.4
9
54%
9
1
0
1
2
3
4
5
3-3
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
23.0
18.2
5
42%
5
0
1
1
1
0
4
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
1-1
100%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.1
22.4
25.0
5
32%
3
4
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 21.9
3.9
5.1
0
0%
0
2
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.7
8.7
0
0-1
44%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.4
4.2
0
0-1
47%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.7
3.8
0
0-1
48%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.5
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.7
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.