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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 21, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Clippers28%9288
1376ers72%9989
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.0
48.0
32.6
22
50%
9
1
1
1
2
1
4
5
4-7
57%
9-19
5-10
47%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.6
42.0
36.1
17
52%
9
3
0
1
1
5
3
6
3-3
100%
7-15
5-11
47%
48%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 29.6
38.1
34.8
18
65%
4
6
4
2
0
7
1
3
3-4
75%
3-7
5-10
43%
46%
3-5
60%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 34.7
33.7
28.6
13
60%
9
3
2
1
0
3
3
6
1-2
50%
6-10
3-6
60%
44%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 29.2
18.5
21.2
2
20%
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 19.9
29.5
11.2
8
52%
2
2
2
0
0
2
1
1
5-6
83%
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
1-3
33%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 32.5
10.6
6.8
6
100%
6
0
1
0
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.6
9.9
4.9
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
38%
0-0
-
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.3
9.7
11.9
2
20%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-0
-
Mike Taylor
G · 6'2" 165 · 22.8
8.6
0
1-3
40%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.3
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.4
1.9
0
0-0
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.4
41.3
35.4
17
62%
6
0
1
2
0
1
2
4
2-4
50%
6-10
6-10
60%
56%
1-2
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.7
40.8
31.9
13
61%
3
7
3
1
0
3
2
1
4-6
67%
3-7
6-12
43%
50%
1-1
100%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.7
40.2
34.8
17
41%
8
0
0
1
5
4
2
6
5-6
83%
6-18
7-14
33%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
36.5
36.5
14
46%
6
12
4
2
1
5
0
6
4-7
57%
5-11
5-9
45%
50%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.5
27.9
29.1
11
58%
8
0
4
1
0
2
3
5
1-1
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
52%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.3
21.7
20.6
9
54%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.3
15.5
11.7
8
50%
6
1
0
0
1
2
5
1
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.5
7.8
10.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.1
7.2
13.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.6
1.1
0.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.9
6.1
0
0-1
45%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
5.9
0
0-1
43%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.7
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.