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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 21, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Knicks44%10387
25Bucks56%105104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.2
43.0
37.7
20
75%
2
4
1
1
0
5
0
2
8-10
80%
3-4
2-4
75%
44%
2-5
40%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 24.5
40.6
28.3
19
41%
10
4
0
1
0
4
2
8
4-5
80%
6-15
3-6
40%
48%
1-6
17%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 25.6
39.4
25.3
13
60%
12
3
2
1
0
1
3
9
1-2
50%
6-10
4-8
60%
55%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 28.6
38.6
28.0
7
32%
8
0
2
1
0
3
1
7
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
42%
2-7
29%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.5
38.0
30.6
13
30%
8
4
2
1
3
0
1
7
1-1
100%
3-13
5-10
23%
49%
2-8
25%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 34.0
23.4
7.4
9
33%
6
3
0
0
0
0
2
4
1-1
100%
4-12
1-2
33%
39%
0-1
0%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.8
17.1
2.8
6
44%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
0-3
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.4
35.9
1
7-15
47%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 33.2
32.9
1
4-10
44%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.7
32.0
1
3-8
45%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.8
25.7
1
3-6
45%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 31.8
24.2
1
2-5
45%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.7
15.9
0
2-4
45%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.3
7.9
0
1-2
40%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.0
0.8
0
0-0
46%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.0
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 26.0
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.2
28.9
27.2
8
59%
13
0
1
1
2
2
6
7
2-4
50%
3-5
4-8
60%
50%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.8
27.3
29.2
9
33%
4
7
4
1
1
1
0
4
3-4
75%
3-12
3-6
25%
46%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.4
25.4
33.8
11
33%
1
0
0
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
3-10
6-12
30%
50%
1-6
17%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.0
25.3
30.9
14
64%
17
3
0
1
1
1
6
11
0-0
-
7-11
5-9
64%
54%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
22.9
29.8
6
50%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
0-2
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
28.1
29.6
15
55%
4
10
3
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
6-12
5-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.9
22.6
16.8
4
41%
6
0
1
1
1
1
2
4
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.6
14.5
5.3
9
70%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
1-1
25%
46%
2-2
100%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.2
13.5
21.1
20
70%
6
1
0
0
0
1
3
3
4-5
80%
8-11
4-9
73%
49%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.7
12.5
8.9
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.4
12.3
6.2
2
20%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.6
6.9
12.6
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.8
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.2
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.