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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 21, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Hornets80%100105
30Thunder20%8980
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.5
28.8
22.1
8
33%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
42%
2-5
40%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
28.7
35.1
19
67%
8
2
0
1
4
2
0
8
7-7
100%
6-11
7-15
55%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.5
26.7
36.0
17
79%
6
6
3
2
0
2
0
6
4-4
100%
5-8
6-12
63%
52%
1-1
100%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.5
24.9
27.7
13
46%
1
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-8
2-5
25%
46%
3-6
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.1
22.3
32.9
0
0%
6
0
0
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
0-0
4-6
-
60%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.9
25.7
18.5
16
68%
2
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
3-4
75%
5-8
2-5
63%
45%
1-2
50%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.9
22.1
27.4
8
47%
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
51%
1-2
50%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.0
19.6
14.1
13
74%
2
0
1
0
0
3
1
1
1-4
25%
6-7
1-3
86%
49%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.5
19.3
12.2
6
50%
3
3
3
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.0
8.2
1.6
4
67%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
44%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.4
7.5
2.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.6
6.1
5.0
1
27%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.2
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.1
33.9
34.6
17
54%
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
6-6
100%
4-12
7-16
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
28.8
34.3
3
19%
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
0-4
4-10
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.1
25.4
25.5
16
69%
13
0
0
1
0
3
3
10
6-6
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
49%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.8
24.0
15.0
4
29%
7
1
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.4
19.0
26.2
2
33%
2
4
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
45%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.0
28.8
26.8
15
45%
3
3
2
1
0
4
1
2
5-6
83%
5-14
4-10
36%
41%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.9
26.2
15.0
7
55%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
1-2
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.2
22.9
12.7
7
54%
8
1
1
0
1
5
0
8
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.3
18.0
19.0
2
25%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 22.8
7.3
2.8
3
75%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-2
50%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.5
5.7
2.6
4
60%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
2-3
67%
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.0
19.9
0
2-4
49%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.1
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.2
Steven Hill
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.