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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 21, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bulls36%101115
16Warriors64%106110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.6
41.0
33.7
13
43%
1
3
2
1
1
5
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
5-10
63%
46%
1-7
14%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.8
40.3
19.5
26
71%
4
4
1
1
1
1
1
3
5-5
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
41%
5-7
71%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.2
37.4
24.1
18
57%
16
2
0
1
1
2
8
8
4-4
100%
7-14
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.1
36.1
33.7
25
64%
3
5
2
1
0
5
0
3
1-1
100%
12-18
6-12
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
27.6
12.1
12
67%
6
4
2
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.0
23.3
26.0
4
29%
7
2
0
0
1
2
2
5
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.3
17.4
23.5
7
74%
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
3-4
75%
2-3
3-8
67%
43%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.0
16.9
9.7
10
83%
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
39%
2-3
67%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
21.0
1
4-8
49%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.0
17.8
1
3-5
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.7
15.8
1
2-3
49%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
4.8
0
1-1
45%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.8
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.6
45.3
40.3
32
72%
2
6
0
1
0
8
0
2
4-5
80%
11-17
5-11
65%
45%
2-3
67%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.0
39.2
32.8
24
76%
7
2
2
1
0
2
0
7
9-11
82%
6-9
5-9
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.6
35.9
33.9
23
63%
10
3
1
1
1
1
5
5
3-5
60%
10-16
6-11
63%
59%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.6
35.5
31.2
4
20%
5
6
2
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-7
3-8
29%
45%
0-3
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
33.7
29.5
7
35%
1
1
3
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
47%
1-3
33%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.7
15.8
4.2
4
40%
0
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.4
13.2
6.0
10
63%
9
1
1
0
4
2
5
4
2-2
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.1
10.0
11.5
4
67%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 25.9
7.4
12.1
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.0
4.0
2.6
2
26%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-3
0-0
33%
41%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
35.6
1
5-10
49%
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 23.7
6.5
0
1-2
47%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.7
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.8
DeMarcus Nelson
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.