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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 22, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Pacers33%94100
13Heat67%100109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.5
37.9
29.0
13
55%
7
2
0
1
1
4
3
4
3-4
75%
5-9
5-10
56%
51%
0-1
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.6
37.6
31.7
6
43%
11
6
0
1
0
1
3
8
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
0-3
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.9
36.6
33.0
25
54%
5
2
1
1
0
4
1
4
3-5
60%
11-19
5-10
58%
47%
0-2
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.6
35.3
34.8
23
60%
2
6
1
1
0
6
0
2
3-3
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
48%
4-9
44%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.7
26.4
34.1
11
49%
4
2
0
1
0
3
1
3
3-3
100%
1-6
5-12
17%
45%
2-4
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.1
23.9
22.6
8
66%
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
5-7
71%
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
22.1
19.6
10
83%
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
2-2
100%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.8
20.2
23.8
4
37%
8
1
1
1
0
0
1
7
0-1
0%
2-5
3-5
40%
52%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.7
5.9
0
0-1
43%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 21.9
4.9
0
1-1
49%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.5
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.7
2.7
0
0-1
47%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.2
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.7
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.5
43.1
36.1
18
57%
9
4
6
2
0
1
2
7
2-2
100%
8-15
5-10
53%
56%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.8
40.6
37.5
38
66%
4
8
1
2
2
4
0
4
6-11
55%
13-21
9-17
62%
51%
2-3
67%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.5
35.9
32.9
16
58%
8
1
1
1
0
0
1
7
2-2
100%
7-13
4-8
54%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.9
28.4
20.1
17
67%
6
2
0
1
0
3
1
5
4-4
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.5
23.6
27.4
5
38%
2
2
3
1
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.2
24.4
24.3
8
62%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.6
17.0
29.7
2
26%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.2
14.9
9.9
3
75%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
1-2
50%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.3
12.1
15.1
2
100%
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.0
4.7
0
0-1
48%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 23.2
4.1
0
0-1
46%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.0
2.9
0
0-1
49%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.1
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.5
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.