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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 22, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Wizards43%101117
24Knicks57%103122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.4
42.1
38.6
29
83%
13
0
2
1
0
3
3
10
9-10
90%
7-11
6-13
64%
48%
2-2
100%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.6
37.5
30.1
10
36%
3
8
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
2-10
20%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.7
31.7
37.9
23
55%
4
3
3
2
0
4
3
1
6-7
86%
7-15
6-13
47%
48%
1-3
33%
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
22.1
14.4
2
20%
3
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
0-2
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 20.8
8.6
22.2
9
53%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.8
25.4
10.2
13
49%
4
1
2
0
0
0
2
2
3-3
100%
5-12
1-3
42%
48%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
19.2
3.9
4
67%
9
1
0
0
2
0
3
6
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
45%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.5
19.0
23.2
17
70%
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
4-5
80%
5-8
4-8
63%
47%
1-2
50%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.1
12.7
20.0
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.6
11.8
11.1
4
50%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.3
10.0
18.5
6
100%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
48%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.0
5.3
0
1-1
46%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.9
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.0
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.2
45.8
39.4
10
51%
5
11
0
1
0
4
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
2-6
33%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.5
44.7
33.5
23
59%
6
2
1
1
1
1
1
5
6-8
75%
4-11
5-11
36%
50%
3-5
60%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 28.6
43.6
32.6
34
75%
12
2
0
1
0
1
3
9
5-6
83%
4-7
2-5
57%
43%
7-13
54%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 24.5
41.5
33.7
27
88%
6
6
1
1
0
4
3
3
3-3
100%
6-7
4-8
86%
49%
4-7
57%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 25.6
40.4
31.7
22
60%
12
2
1
1
0
4
5
7
4-5
80%
9-16
5-9
56%
57%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.8
14.2
9.9
4
20%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
46%
0-5
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 34.0
9.8
15.3
2
20%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
40%
0-0
-
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 33.2
18.5
1
2-5
45%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.8
15.2
1
2-3
46%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.7
10.4
0
1-3
46%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.3
1.9
0
0-0
49%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.0
1.0
0
0-0
48%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.0
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 31.8
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 26.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.