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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 22, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Thunder11%8697
8Hornets89%102109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
40.5
31.9
17
72%
5
4
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
6-9
4-9
67%
42%
1-2
50%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.1
39.3
34.0
30
77%
4
0
0
1
0
5
1
3
7-8
88%
10-13
7-15
77%
45%
1-3
33%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.9
27.5
19.6
11
56%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
41%
2-4
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.1
25.5
25.5
4
41%
5
1
0
0
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.4
25.1
23.4
6
51%
0
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
43%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.0
30.3
27.3
9
41%
1
11
3
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-7
4-11
29%
38%
1-3
33%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.2
29.3
17.2
14
62%
10
0
0
0
0
2
2
8
0-3
0%
7-10
3-5
70%
50%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.3
22.5
18.5
6
38%
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-2
0%
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.8
18.9
1
2-6
43%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.0
13.2
0
1-3
48%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 22.8
4.9
0
0-1
43%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.5
4.3
0
1-1
44%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.1
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.2
Steven Hill
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.5
43.8
31.7
29
72%
10
16
3
2
1
2
0
10
6-7
86%
10-16
6-11
63%
53%
1-1
100%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
40.3
32.2
33
71%
8
2
2
1
0
3
1
7
7-7
100%
13-20
7-13
65%
51%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.1
34.8
27.9
8
68%
5
2
2
0
1
1
4
1
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
62%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.5
34.6
26.5
12
43%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
47%
2-7
29%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.5
24.9
25.1
10
74%
3
0
2
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
43%
2-4
50%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.9
31.1
24.9
9
78%
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
1-3
33%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.0
13.3
16.9
6
50%
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.5
11.1
15.7
2
50%
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.9
6.2
21.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
46%
0-1
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.6
6.0
0
1-2
47%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.0
5.7
0
0-1
47%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.4
5.6
0
1-1
44%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.