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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 23, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Celtics58%95118
16Raptors42%92103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.3
31.5
31.4
21
88%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
5-7
71%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.5
28.6
25.4
15
75%
6
5
1
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
6-9
5-11
67%
51%
1-1
100%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.0
25.9
23.7
12
68%
8
2
0
0
1
2
2
6
0-2
0%
6-8
2-4
75%
57%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 22.8
25.6
29.0
15
59%
2
4
2
2
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
6-11
3-7
55%
48%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.1
24.0
32.7
11
64%
4
2
3
1
0
4
1
3
4-6
67%
2-4
4-8
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 22.9
25.3
19.7
7
81%
5
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
3-3
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.5
22.6
15.4
11
62%
1
2
1
1
1
2
1
0
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
2-5
40%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 26.9
22.1
21.1
15
74%
6
2
1
1
0
2
0
6
5-7
71%
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.8
15.8
19.5
8
60%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
2-6
33%
3-4
3-5
75%
53%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
14.3
13.2
3
150%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
1-1
100%
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.6
4.3
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.4
3.8
0
0-1
50%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.1
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 39.0
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 24.7
41.9
39.7
24
65%
6
0
0
1
1
1
3
3
9-10
90%
6-13
8-16
46%
50%
1-1
100%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.2
39.3
28.8
14
56%
5
9
0
1
0
3
0
5
8-8
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.1
31.9
34.4
14
60%
7
3
1
1
1
1
0
7
6-6
100%
1-5
3-8
20%
44%
2-4
50%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.4
31.0
35.2
14
58%
1
0
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
47%
4-5
80%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.1
13.7
28.4
6
60%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
5-11
60%
44%
0-0
-
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.0
19.7
5.8
7
54%
0
4
2
0
0
5
0
0
1-1
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
42%
0-1
0%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.4
19.7
13.3
9
58%
2
0
2
1
1
0
1
1
3-4
75%
3-5
1-2
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
17.7
14.2
11
57%
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
2
5-6
83%
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.8
11.9
20.1
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.5
7.1
3.3
4
69%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Hassan Adams
F · 6'4" 220 · 24.4
4.3
0.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.3
1.8
16.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.