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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 24, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bulls23%94101
10Jazz77%103100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.6
40.4
37.8
15
49%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-3
67%
5-10
5-10
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.1
34.6
37.4
25
63%
1
9
1
1
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
9-17
6-14
53%
46%
1-1
100%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.2
32.0
30.8
18
57%
6
0
1
1
1
3
1
5
2-2
100%
8-14
5-11
57%
46%
0-1
0%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.8
29.5
28.5
16
68%
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
3-7
3-8
43%
40%
2-3
67%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.7
16.5
14.4
6
60%
7
0
0
1
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.3
23.0
14.7
2
25%
8
1
0
1
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.0
18.7
23.4
7
90%
0
2
2
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.0
16.0
14.0
8
80%
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
49%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
15.9
12.6
2
20%
1
1
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.0
13.3
14.0
2
100%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
39%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
15.6
1
1-3
46%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
2.4
0
0-1
43%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.9
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.7
40.3
32.5
18
45%
3
3
3
2
0
3
2
1
1-2
50%
7-15
6-10
47%
56%
1-4
25%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.5
40.0
31.3
26
67%
9
2
2
1
0
1
3
6
3-3
100%
10-14
4-7
71%
50%
1-4
25%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.8
34.5
23.5
21
68%
10
2
2
1
1
2
4
6
5-8
63%
8-12
4-7
67%
53%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.4
33.7
25.3
11
55%
4
8
3
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
45%
1-3
33%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.7
30.6
29.9
12
75%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
6-6
4-8
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
28.7
27.2
4
29%
6
8
1
1
1
4
3
3
2-2
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
53%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.0
14.3
19.2
4
40%
3
3
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-0
-
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.8
13.8
12.5
4
40%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
48%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 19.7
4.2
14.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
19.7
1
2-4
51%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.5
11.1
0
2-3
49%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.9
4.5
0
1-1
52%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.7
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.0
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.