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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 26, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Bobcats30%8986
14Raptors70%9693
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 21.0
43.1
35.1
13
78%
0
4
1
1
0
7
0
0
3-3
100%
2-3
4-9
67%
45%
2-4
50%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.4
39.2
36.8
4
20%
3
7
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-8
5-11
25%
44%
0-2
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
38.6
37.9
23
46%
8
2
1
2
0
1
1
7
7-11
64%
8-17
4-9
47%
50%
0-3
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 26.2
26.4
32.9
16
71%
14
1
2
1
1
0
6
8
2-3
67%
7-10
4-8
70%
51%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 20.6
9.4
9.9
6
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.4
25.9
16.1
13
89%
4
1
1
1
0
0
3
1
2-3
67%
4-5
2-4
80%
49%
1-1
100%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.4
15.9
18.4
2
14%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
41%
0-3
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 31.2
11.7
10.0
2
33%
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.2
11.5
11.1
3
28%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.6
11.0
5.0
4
67%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.1
7.3
9.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.0
13.2
1
2-5
44%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 25.5
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 24.7
45.1
40.1
39
80%
11
0
1
1
2
1
2
9
9-10
90%
15-20
8-15
75%
51%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.2
40.9
32.9
10
50%
3
9
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
54%
2-6
33%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.1
40.1
32.8
11
35%
9
3
0
1
3
4
2
7
1-2
50%
2-9
3-7
22%
46%
2-6
33%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.4
37.3
33.0
5
63%
5
5
3
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.5
17.5
15.9
3
38%
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
53%
1-1
100%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.5
21.5
5.2
17
83%
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4
5-5
100%
6-8
1-1
75%
48%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
15.6
15.5
2
17%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-5
17%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.8
15.0
16.8
4
67%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.0
7.1
11.6
2
50%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.1
22.4
0
4-8
46%
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.4
10.5
0
1-2
48%
Hassan Adams
F · 6'4" 220 · 24.4
2.3
0
0-1
50%
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.