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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 26, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bulls29%9088
12Spurs71%9798
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.1
39.9
35.9
10
45%
6
6
0
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
5-11
6-13
45%
46%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.8
39.8
28.3
8
29%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
3-8
50%
41%
0-6
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.6
38.2
38.0
23
65%
5
3
2
1
0
3
1
4
3-4
75%
7-12
5-10
58%
46%
2-4
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.2
31.2
30.6
20
53%
12
0
1
1
0
3
2
10
2-4
50%
9-17
5-11
53%
47%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.8
12.2
15.0
2
35%
5
0
1
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
26.1
14.4
10
63%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.0
16.6
13.3
6
60%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
2-3
67%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.0
16.0
14.5
2
100%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.0
8.6
21.7
5
42%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
1-1
100%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.3
7.9
17.5
2
50%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
42%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
3.4
10.9
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
1.7
0
0-0
44%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.9
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.2
36.2
33.6
9
34%
6
3
1
1
0
2
1
5
3-3
100%
0-7
3-6
0%
47%
2-5
40%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.5
30.7
26.8
3
31%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.6
28.6
30.6
21
66%
8
3
0
1
2
1
0
8
5-9
56%
8-12
7-14
67%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.7
25.7
29.6
6
30%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-5
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.7
14.9
19.9
5
64%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
57%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.6
32.7
25.7
19
51%
11
4
1
1
0
2
5
6
5-6
83%
7-15
4-8
47%
46%
0-1
0%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.3
19.9
16.3
8
133%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
2-2
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.3
17.9
18.8
15
70%
3
4
1
1
1
1
0
3
5-6
83%
5-7
2-4
71%
48%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.6
16.7
17.2
4
52%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.1
16.3
10.0
8
68%
9
1
0
0
1
2
2
7
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.5
0.5
8.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.8
9.8
0
1-3
42%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.1
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.5
Blake Ahearn
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.