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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 26, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Grizzlies21%91100
9Jazz79%102117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.1
36.1
38.9
22
66%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
10-13
5-12
77%
45%
0-2
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.3
35.0
36.4
27
65%
7
1
2
1
0
2
1
6
5-6
83%
8-14
6-13
57%
48%
2-4
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.8
32.9
26.7
12
61%
8
2
2
1
1
2
3
5
2-4
50%
5-8
3-7
63%
52%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.7
19.8
18.7
6
43%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.1
18.4
28.3
7
58%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.7
29.6
18.5
3
22%
0
5
4
1
1
2
0
0
3-4
75%
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.4
22.8
15.9
8
52%
5
1
1
0
0
5
1
4
0-4
0%
4-6
2-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.4
18.7
22.6
7
55%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1-3
33%
3-5
3-6
60%
45%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.6
10.7
20.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.0
10.5
3.4
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.9
5.6
3.0
8
93%
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2-3
67%
3-3
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.2
4.0
0
0-0
46%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.3
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.8
37.8
27.4
24
67%
16
1
0
1
1
1
7
9
2-2
100%
11-17
5-8
65%
54%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.7
36.1
34.9
21
67%
5
5
2
2
1
1
1
4
5-6
83%
8-12
6-11
67%
56%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.5
34.1
34.2
21
90%
10
2
1
1
1
1
2
8
5-6
83%
5-7
4-8
71%
51%
2-2
100%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
29.4
14.3
11
53%
2
15
1
0
0
4
0
2
2-3
67%
3-7
2-3
43%
51%
1-2
50%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.7
26.1
29.8
13
47%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
52%
1-5
20%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
30.9
27.7
17
65%
3
4
2
1
0
3
1
2
6-7
86%
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
1-3
33%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.4
18.6
28.1
4
41%
3
0
3
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.8
13.1
12.9
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.5
8.1
7.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 19.8
3.9
10.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.9
2.1
3.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.7
12.4
0
1-2
49%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.1
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.0
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.