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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 27, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Magic53%99105
22Wizards47%9890
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.0
38.1
35.1
26
72%
14
2
1
1
3
2
4
10
10-14
71%
8-12
6-11
67%
58%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.2
38.0
25.7
7
60%
4
12
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
2-2
100%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 29.7
34.4
36.6
20
52%
10
3
1
1
0
1
1
9
6-7
86%
7-12
4-9
58%
47%
0-4
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
34.4
36.3
17
52%
5
4
1
1
0
1
2
3
4-5
80%
5-11
4-7
45%
50%
1-3
33%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
34.0
31.2
17
65%
4
3
3
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
7-11
3-5
64%
52%
1-2
50%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.4
23.9
20.6
7
39%
2
1
1
0
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
1-6
17%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
19.4
17.4
6
61%
6
0
1
0
1
0
3
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.2
11.3
9.0
5
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
1-1
100%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 24.8
2.4
1.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24.7
2.4
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.0
1.6
3.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 33.7
4.4
0
0-1
48%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.6
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.5
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.7
39.3
35.9
25
61%
2
6
1
2
0
4
1
1
6-6
100%
8-12
6-13
67%
48%
1-6
17%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.5
36.5
38.0
17
49%
12
2
2
1
0
1
4
8
3-5
60%
7-11
6-12
64%
48%
0-4
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.7
27.6
31.7
6
43%
3
6
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
43%
2-3
67%
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
22.1
18.4
2
17%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-3
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 20.9
16.4
18.6
6
44%
7
0
1
0
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.5
22.8
21.6
6
43%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.8
21.6
14.9
12
67%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
6-9
2-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.7
19.6
18.1
5
47%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
48%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.7
15.0
7.5
6
52%
6
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
2-4
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.3
12.4
21.7
5
36%
5
1
1
1
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-6
4-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
6.6
12.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.1
13.9
1
2-4
44%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.0
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.0
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.