Final Win Prob. pScore
2918%85
98
1082%97
109
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo Grizzlies
112.68785.9
SAS logo Spurs
125.38788.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS98
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MEMMayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0MEMMayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)97
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0SASThomas S.FOUL (P3.PN)96
109
Q4 - 0:17.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 196
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0SASSUB: Tolliver FOR Mason Jr.96
109
Q4 - 0:17.0MEMMayo S.FOUL (P3.PN)96
109
Q4 - 0:17.0SASParker 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)96
109
Q4 - 0:35.0MEMParker STEAL (1 STL)96
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0SASMason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)96
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MEMConley 4' Jump Shot (13 PTS)96
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 1:07MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)94
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 1:08MEMMISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)94
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 1:24SASSPURS Rebound94
103
Q4 - 1:24SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 294
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 1:24MEMGay P.FOUL (P5.PN)94
103
Q4 - 1:43MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)94
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 1:43MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)93
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 1:43MEMSUB: Gasol FOR Milicic92
103
Q4 - 1:43MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)92
103
Q4 - 1:43SASThomas S.FOUL (P2.T4)92
103
Q4 - 1:48MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 1:49SASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot92
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 2:14MEMMilicic 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)92
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 2:32SASThomas 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)90
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49MEMMayo 6' Pullup Jump Shot (30 PTS)90
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 3:07SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)88
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 3:07SASSUB: Thomas FOR Duncan88
100
Q4 - 3:07SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)88
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 3:07MEMConley S.FOUL (P3.PN)88
99
Q4 - 3:18MEMMayo 16' Jump Shot (28 PTS)88
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 3:36SASUdoka 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 7 AST)86
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 3:58MEMMayo 27' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)86
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 4:13SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)83
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 4:13MEMGay S.FOUL (P4.PN)83
95
Q4 - 4:13SASDuncan 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Mason Jr. 5 AST)83
95
Q4 - 4:30SASSUB: Parker FOR Ginobili83
93
Q4 - 4:30SASSPURS Rebound83
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 4:30MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 4:52SASUdoka 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Mason Jr. 4 AST)83
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 4:57SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 4:58MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
2.2%
91
97.8%
Q4 - 5:15MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
4.1%
91
95.9%
Q4 - 5:16SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 283
3.9%
91
96.1%
Q4 - 5:16SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)83
3.2%
91
96.8%
Q4 - 5:16MEMMilicic P.FOUL (P4.PN)83
90
Q4 - 5:25MEMGay 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS)83
4.0%
90
96.0%
Q4 - 5:42MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q4 - 5:43SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 181
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 5:43MEMLowry S.FOUL (P1.T4)81
90
Q4 - 5:43SASDuncan 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Hill 6 AST)81
90
Q4 - 5:54MEMMayo Dunk (23 PTS)81
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q4 - 5:59SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)79
2.9%
88
97.1%
Q4 - 6:03MEMSUB: Conley FOR Jaric79
88
Q4 - 6:03SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)79
88
Q4 - 6:09SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 6:10MEMMISS Milicic 5' Jump Shot79
2.9%
88
97.1%
Q4 - 6:27SASHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)79
3.6%
88
96.4%
Q4 - 6:27MEMGay S.FOUL (P3.T3)79
87
Q4 - 6:27SASHill 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)79
87
Q4 - 6:32MEMUdoka STEAL (2 STL)79
6.3%
85
93.7%
Q4 - 6:50SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hill 5 AST)79
8.5%
85
91.5%
Q4 - 7:00SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
14.4%
82
85.6%
Q4 - 7:00MEMMISS Mayo Free Throw 1 of 179
15.0%
82
85.0%
Q4 - 7:00SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Finley79
82
Q4 - 7:00SASUdoka S.FOUL (P2.T3)79
82
Q4 - 7:00MEMMayo 7' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)79
82
Q4 - 7:14SASFinley Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T12)77
11.6%
82
88.4%
Q4 - 7:27MEMUdoka STEAL (1 STL)77
8.8%
82
91.2%
Q4 - 7:41MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)77
82
Q4 - 7:49MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
11.6%
82
88.4%
Q4 - 7:50SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' Jump Shot77
10.7%
82
89.3%
Q4 - 7:55MEMHill STEAL (1 STL)77
8.8%
82
91.2%
Q4 - 8:14MEMLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
11.9%
82
88.1%
Q4 - 8:15SASMISS Finley 21' Jump Shot77
11.2%
82
88.8%
Q4 - 8:4177
82
Q4 - 8:41MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)77
9.5%
82
90.5%
Q4 - 8:41SASSUB: Duncan FOR Thomas76
82
Q4 - 8:41SASUdoka S.FOUL (P1.T2)76
82
Q4 - 8:41MEMGay 2' Layup (21 PTS)76
82
Q4 - 9:06SASThomas 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)74
6.6%
82
93.4%
Q4 - 9:20MEMGay 10' Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS)74
8.2%
80
91.8%
Q4 - 9:32SASFinley 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)72
6.5%
80
93.5%
Q4 - 9:51SASHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
8.2%
78
91.8%
Q4 - 9:52MEMMISS Jaric 22' Jump Shot72
8.8%
78
91.2%
Q4 - 10:12SASHill L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)72
78
Q4 - 10:12MEMGrizzlies Rebound72
10.5%
78
89.5%
Q4 - 10:12MEMMISS Mayo 13' Step Back Jump Shot72
9.2%
78
90.8%
Q4 - 10:26SASThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)72
10.5%
78
89.5%
Q4 - 10:26MEMSUB: Milicic FOR Gasol72
77
Q4 - 10:26SASSPURS Rebound72
77
Q4 - 10:26SASMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 272
11.0%
77
89.0%
Q4 - 10:26MEMJaric S.FOUL (P1.T2)72
77
Q4 - 10:30SASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
10.6%
77
89.4%
Q4 - 10:31SASMISS Udoka 12' Turnaround Jump Shot72
12.1%
77
87.9%
Q4 - 10:39SASSPURS Rebound72
10.6%
77
89.4%
Q4 - 10:39SASMISS Udoka 12' Running Bank Shot72
12.1%
77
87.9%
Q4 - 10:52SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
10.6%
77
89.4%
Q4 - 10:54MEMMISS Gasol 3' Layup72
11.2%
77
88.8%
Q4 - 11:13SASThomas 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Mason Jr. 3 AST)72
13.1%
77
86.9%
Q4 - 11:29MEMMayo 17' Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS)72
15.9%
75
84.1%
Q4 - 11:42SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)70
13.1%
75
86.9%
Q4 - 11:42SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)70
13.6%
74
86.4%
Q4 - 11:42MEMGasol S.FOUL (P2.T1)70
73
Q4 - 11:45SASHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)70
15.9%
73
84.1%
Q4 - 11:46SASMISS Mason Jr. 19' Jump Shot70
17.9%
73
82.1%
Q4 - 12:0070
73
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM70
15.9%
73
84.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)70
18.9%
73
81.1%
Q3 - 0:26.0SASSUB: Udoka FOR Bonner70
73
Q3 - 0:30.0SASSPURS Rebound70
16.2%
73
83.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot70
18.0%
73
82.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0MEMMayo 7' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS)70
16.2%
73
83.8%
Q3 - 0:42.0SASThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)68
13.4%
73
86.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0MEMGasol 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Mayo 4 AST)68
11.4%
73
88.6%
Q3 - 1:00SASParker 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)66
9.3%
73
90.7%
Q3 - 1:15MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)66
11.5%
71
88.5%
Q3 - 1:15SASSUB: Hill FOR Mason Jr.65
71
Q3 - 1:15MEMSUB: Lowry FOR Conley65
71
Q3 - 1:15MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
11.0%
71
89.0%
Q3 - 1:15SASThomas S.FOUL (P1.T4)64
71
Q3 - 1:37SASParker 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)64
9.5%
71
90.5%
Q3 - 1:57MEMGay 7' Running Bank Shot (17 PTS)64
11.5%
69
88.5%
Q3 - 2:04SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)62
9.8%
69
90.2%
Q3 - 2:14SASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
8.2%
69
91.8%
Q3 - 2:15MEMMISS Gasol 5' Jump Hook Shot62
8.7%
69
91.3%
Q3 - 2:30SASGinobili 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)62
9.7%
69
90.3%
Q3 - 2:43MEMSUB: Jaric FOR Milicic62
67
Q3 - 2:43SASSUB: Bonner FOR Oberto62
67
Q3 - 2:43SASSUB: Thomas FOR Duncan62
67
Q3 - 2:43SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)62
67
Q3 - 2:44MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
11.5%
67
88.5%
Q3 - 2:44MEMMilicic Tip Shot (9 PTS)62
11.5%
67
88.5%
Q3 - 2:45MEMMISS Milicic 2' Layup60
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q3 - 3:04SASMason Jr. 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)60
9.8%
67
90.2%
Q3 - 3:15SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
11.3%
65
88.7%
Q3 - 3:16MEMMISS Mayo 15' Fadeaway Jumper60
11.9%
65
88.1%
Q3 - 3:31MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
13.4%
65
86.6%
Q3 - 3:32SASMISS Parker 4' Running Jump Shot60
12.8%
65
87.2%
Q3 - 3:44MEMGasol 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)60
11.4%
65
88.6%
Q3 - 4:03SASMason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Oberto 3 AST)58
10.0%
65
90.0%
Q3 - 4:06SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
13.3%
62
86.7%
Q3 - 4:07SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot58
15.0%
62
85.0%
Q3 - 4:29MEMGay 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)58
13.3%
62
86.7%
Q3 - 4:42SASParker 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)56
11.7%
62
88.3%
Q3 - 5:07MEMConley 2' Layup (11 PTS)56
13.3%
60
86.7%
Q3 - 5:13MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
11.7%
60
88.3%
Q3 - 5:14SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
11.1%
60
88.9%
Q3 - 5:18SASSUB: Parker FOR Finley54
60
Q3 - 5:18MEMMayo P.FOUL (P2.T1)54
60
Q3 - 5:29MEMMilicic 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Mayo 3 AST)54
9.9%
60
90.1%
Q3 - 5:39SASMason Jr. P.FOUL (P1.T3)52
60
Q3 - 5:41SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)52
8.6%
60
91.4%
Q3 - 5:48MEMGasol 2' Layup (6 PTS)52
7.3%
60
92.7%
Q3 - 5:50MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)50
6.3%
60
93.7%
Q3 - 5:51MEMMISS Gasol 2' Layup50
5.6%
60
94.4%
Q3 - 6:12SASOberto Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)50
6.4%
60
93.6%
Q3 - 6:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)50
5.5%
60
94.5%
Q3 - 6:30MEMMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 150
5.6%
60
94.4%
Q3 - 6:30SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen50
60
Q3 - 6:30SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.T2)50
60
Q3 - 6:30MEMMilicic 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)50
60
Q3 - 6:48SASMason Jr. 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
4.7%
60
95.3%
Q3 - 7:13MEMGay 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)48
5.7%
58
94.3%
Q3 - 7:17MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)46
58
Q3 - 7:21SASDuncan Layup (5 PTS) (Oberto 2 AST)46
4.9%
58
95.1%
Q3 - 7:40MEMGasol Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)46
5.7%
56
94.3%
Q3 - 7:56SASMason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)46
6.6%
56
93.4%
Q3 - 8:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)46
8.8%
53
91.2%
Q3 - 8:15MEMMISS Conley 3' Layup46
9.2%
53
90.8%
Q3 - 8:38SASFinley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)46
10.2%
53
89.8%
Q3 - 8:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)46
13.2%
50
86.8%
Q3 - 8:43SASMISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
14.5%
50
85.5%
Q3 - 8:57SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
13.2%
50
86.8%
Q3 - 8:58MEMMISS Gasol 6' Jump Shot46
13.7%
50
86.3%
Q3 - 9:11MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
15.0%
50
85.0%
Q3 - 9:12SASMISS Oberto 15' Jump Shot46
14.4%
50
85.6%
Q3 - 9:24MEMMayo Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)46
13.2%
50
86.8%
Q3 - 9:24SASBowen S.FOUL (P1.T1)45
50
Q3 - 9:24MEMMayo 2' Layup (14 PTS)45
50
Q3 - 9:27MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
10.2%
50
89.8%
Q3 - 9:28SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot43
9.8%
50
90.2%
Q3 - 9:44MEMMayo 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)43
8.9%
50
91.1%
Q3 - 10:01SASMason Jr. 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)41
7.9%
50
92.1%
Q3 - 10:20SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
8.9%
48
91.1%
Q3 - 10:21MEMMISS Gasol 13' Fadeaway Jumper41
9.3%
48
90.7%
Q3 - 10:39MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
10.2%
48
89.8%
Q3 - 10:40SASMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot41
9.8%
48
90.2%
Q3 - 10:57MEMMayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)41
8.9%
48
91.1%
Q3 - 11:06SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)38
7.0%
48
93.0%
Q3 - 11:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)38
6.1%
48
93.9%
Q3 - 11:09MEMMISS Mayo 19' Jump Shot38
6.4%
48
93.6%
Q3 - 11:27SASMason Jr. 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)38
7.0%
48
93.0%
Q3 - 11:42MEMGay 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)38
7.9%
46
92.1%
Q3 - 12:0036
46
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS36
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound36
6.1%
46
93.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 3' Driving Layup36
6.7%
46
93.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)36
6.4%
46
93.6%
Q2 - 0:08.0MEMMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot36
6.6%
46
93.4%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASTolliver 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)36
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0MEMWarrick 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Ross 2 AST)36
8.2%
44
91.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
7.0%
44
93.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0MEMMISS Mayo 1' Layup34
6.6%
44
93.4%
Q2 - 1:21SASHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)34
7.1%
44
92.9%
Q2 - 1:21MEMSUB: Ross FOR Gay34
43
Q2 - 1:21MEMConley S.FOUL (P2.T4)34
43
Q2 - 1:21SASHill 2' Layup (6 PTS)34
43
Q2 - 1:23SASTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
9.4%
41
90.6%
Q2 - 1:25MEMMISS Gasol 1' Layup34
9.6%
41
90.4%
Q2 - 1:42SASTolliver 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)34
10.2%
41
89.8%
Q2 - 1:58SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
11.8%
39
88.2%
Q2 - 2:00SASMISS Tolliver 17' Jump Shot34
12.5%
39
87.5%
Q2 - 2:19MEMConley 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)34
11.5%
39
88.5%
Q2 - 2:30SASTolliver Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)32
10.3%
39
89.7%
Q2 - 2:30SASSPURS Rebound32
38
Q2 - 2:30SASMISS Tolliver Free Throw 1 of 232
10.6%
38
89.4%
Q2 - 2:30MEMWarrick S.FOUL (P1.T3)32
38
Q2 - 2:46MEMSUB: Warrick FOR Arthur32
38
Q2 - 2:46SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)32
38
Q2 - 2:46MEMArthur Foul Turnover (P2.T9)32
10.3%
38
89.7%
Q2 - 2:46MEMArthur OFF.Foul (P2)32
38
Q2 - 3:03SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)32
11.5%
38
88.5%
Q2 - 3:20MEMConley 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
12.6%
36
87.4%
Q2 - 3:43SASGinobili 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)30
11.5%
36
88.5%
Q2 - 3:48MEMSUB: Gasol FOR Milicic30
34
Q2 - 3:48SASSUB: Udoka FOR Finley30
34
Q2 - 3:48MEMSUB: Conley FOR Lowry30
34
Q2 - 3:48MEMMilicic P.FOUL (P3.T2)30
34
Q2 - 4:03SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
12.6%
34
87.4%
Q2 - 4:05SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
13.6%
34
86.4%
Q2 - 4:11SASTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
12.6%
34
87.4%
Q2 - 4:14MEMMISS Arthur 1' Layup30
13.0%
34
87.0%
Q2 - 4:16MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
14.1%
34
85.9%
Q2 - 4:17MEMDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)30
13.0%
34
87.0%
Q2 - 4:23MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
14.1%
34
85.9%
Q2 - 4:24SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
13.6%
34
86.4%
Q2 - 4:37MEMGay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)30
12.6%
34
87.4%
Q2 - 5:01SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)27
10.2%
34
89.8%
Q2 - 5:15MEMMilicic Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)27
12.7%
31
87.3%
Q2 - 5:15SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Mason Jr.26
31
Q2 - 5:15SASSUB: Hill FOR Parker26
31
Q2 - 5:1526
31
Q2 - 5:15SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.T1)26
31
Q2 - 5:15MEMMilicic 2' Layup (2 PTS)26
31
Q2 - 5:15MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
10.2%
31
89.8%
Q2 - 5:17MEMMISS Lowry 11' Jump Shot24
9.5%
31
90.5%
Q2 - 5:25MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
10.2%
31
89.8%
Q2 - 5:26SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot24
9.9%
31
90.1%
Q2 - 5:40MEMMayo 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS)24
9.2%
31
90.8%
Q2 - 5:56SASFinley 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)22
8.2%
31
91.8%
Q2 - 6:09MEMSUB: Mayo FOR Ross22
29
Q2 - 6:09MEMArthur Foul Turnover (P1.T8)22
9.3%
29
90.7%
Q2 - 6:09MEMArthur OFF.Foul (P1)22
29
Q2 - 6:28SASDuncan 2' Layup (3 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)22
10.5%
29
89.5%
Q2 - 6:38SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
11.4%
27
88.6%
Q2 - 6:40MEMMISS Arthur 16' Jump Shot22
11.8%
27
88.2%
Q2 - 6:55MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
12.8%
27
87.2%
Q2 - 6:56SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot22
12.4%
27
87.6%
Q2 - 7:08MEMMilicic P.FOUL (P2.T1)22
27
Q2 - 7:16MEMSUB: Milicic FOR Gasol22
27
Q2 - 7:16SASSUB: Duncan FOR Oberto22
27
Q2 - 7:16SASSUB: Tolliver FOR Bonner22
27
Q2 - 7:16MEMGay Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)22
11.3%
27
88.7%
Q2 - 7:25MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
12.6%
27
87.4%
Q2 - 7:27SASMISS Bonner 3' Layup22
12.2%
27
87.8%
Q2 - 7:44MEMGay 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
11.3%
27
88.7%
Q2 - 8:03SASParker 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
10.4%
27
89.6%
Q2 - 8:18SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
11.4%
25
88.6%
Q2 - 8:20MEMMISS Arthur 2' Layup20
11.8%
25
88.2%
Q2 - 8:35MEMLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
12.6%
25
87.4%
Q2 - 8:36SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
12.2%
25
87.8%
Q2 - 8:49MEMGay 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
11.4%
25
88.6%
Q2 - 9:03MEMSUB: Arthur FOR Warrick18
25
Q2 - 9:03MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)18
25
Q2 - 9:09SASOberto 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)18
10.3%
25
89.7%
Q2 - 9:15SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
11.4%
23
88.6%
Q2 - 9:17MEMMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
11.7%
23
88.3%
Q2 - 9:38SASBonner 3' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)18
12.5%
23
87.5%
Q2 - 9:56SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
13.7%
21
86.3%
Q2 - 9:57MEMMISS Warrick 19' Jump Shot18
14.1%
21
85.9%
Q2 - 10:18SASParker 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
15.1%
21
84.9%
Q2 - 10:37MEMGasol 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)18
16.5%
19
83.5%
Q2 - 11:01SASSUB: Finley FOR Bowen16
19
Q2 - 11:01SASParker Foul Turnover (P1.T5)16
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q2 - 11:01SASParker OFF.Foul (P1)16
19
Q2 - 11:14SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
14.0%
19
86.0%
Q2 - 11:16MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
14.3%
19
85.7%
Q2 - 11:31SASBonner 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)16
15.2%
19
84.8%
Q2 - 11:48MEMRoss Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)16
16.6%
17
83.4%
Q2 - 12:0016
17
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS16
18.1%
17
81.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM16
17
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMLowry 2' Layup (2 PTS)16
16.6%
17
83.4%
Q1 - 0:05.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound14
14.9%
17
85.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0SASMISS Hill 3' Driving Layup14
14.6%
17
85.4%
Q1 - 0:09.0MEMBonner STEAL (1 STL)14
14.0%
17
86.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASHill 1' Layup (4 PTS)14
14.9%
17
85.1%
Q1 - 0:38.0MEMGasol 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
16.5%
15
83.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)12
14.9%
15
85.1%
Q1 - 1:09MEMGrizzlies Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)12
14.0%
15
86.0%
Q1 - 1:32MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
14.8%
15
85.2%
Q1 - 1:34SASMISS Bonner 5' Running Jump Shot12
14.6%
15
85.4%
Q1 - 1:49SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
14.0%
15
86.0%
Q1 - 1:51MEMMISS Warrick 12' Jump Shot12
14.2%
15
85.8%
Q1 - 2:03MEMLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
14.9%
15
85.1%
Q1 - 2:05SASMISS Oberto 10' Jump Bank Shot12
14.7%
15
85.3%
Q1 - 2:15MEMMayo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)12
14.0%
15
86.0%
Q1 - 2:25MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
14.9%
15
85.1%
Q1 - 2:27MEMMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 2:41SASOberto P.FOUL (P1.T4)12
15
Q1 - 2:56MEMSUB: Gasol FOR Milicic12
15
Q1 - 2:56SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
14.9%
15
85.1%
Q1 - 2:56SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
15.2%
14
84.8%
Q1 - 2:56MEMSUB: Lowry FOR Conley12
13
Q1 - 2:56MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)12
13
Q1 - 2:56MEMConley P.FOUL (P1.PN)12
13
Q1 - 3:03SASSUB: Oberto FOR Duncan12
13
Q1 - 3:03MEMMayo Foul Turnover (P1.T2)12
16.0%
13
84.0%
Q1 - 3:03MEMMayo OFF.Foul (P1)12
13
Q1 - 3:10SASBonner P.FOUL (P1.T3)12
13
Q1 - 3:22MEMRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
17.3%
13
82.7%
Q1 - 3:23SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 212
17.1%
13
82.9%
Q1 - 3:23SASSUB: Bowen FOR Finley12
13
Q1 - 3:23MEMSUB: Warrick FOR Gay12
13
Q1 - 3:23SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
16.4%
13
83.6%
Q1 - 3:23MEMGay S.FOUL (P2.T4)12
12
Q1 - 3:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)12
17.3%
12
82.7%
Q1 - 3:39MEMMISS Mayo 4' Pullup Bank Shot12
17.7%
12
82.3%
Q1 - 3:47SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
18.7%
12
81.3%
Q1 - 4:00MEMMilicic P.FOUL (P1.T3)12
9
Q1 - 4:16MEMMayo Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
20.8%
9
79.2%
Q1 - 4:16SASHill S.FOUL (P2.T2)11
9
Q1 - 4:16MEMMayo 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
9
Q1 - 4:31MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
18.3%
9
81.7%
Q1 - 4:32SASMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot9
17.9%
9
82.1%
Q1 - 4:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)9
17.1%
9
82.9%
Q1 - 4:52MEMMISS Milicic 2' Layup9
17.5%
9
82.5%
Q1 - 5:17SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)9
18.5%
9
81.5%
Q1 - 5:33SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
19.5%
7
80.5%
Q1 - 5:35MEMMISS Ross 16' Jump Shot9
19.9%
7
80.1%
Q1 - 5:39MEMSUB: Ross FOR Gasol9
7
Q1 - 5:39SASHill P.FOUL (P1.T1)9
7
Q1 - 5:44MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
20.9%
7
79.1%
Q1 - 5:45SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot9
20.4%
7
79.6%
Q1 - 6:01SASSUB: Bonner FOR Oberto9
7
Q1 - 6:01SASSUB: Hill FOR Mason Jr.9
7
Q1 - 6:01SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)9
7
Q1 - 6:03MEMMayo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
19.1%
7
80.9%
Q1 - 6:24MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
18.0%
7
82.0%
Q1 - 6:25SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot7
17.7%
7
82.3%
Q1 - 6:35SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen7
7
Q1 - 6:35MEMGasol P.FOUL (P1.T2)7
7
Q1 - 6:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)7
17.0%
7
83.0%
Q1 - 6:40MEMMISS Gay 19' Jump Shot7
17.3%
7
82.7%
Q1 - 7:05SASOberto 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)7
17.9%
7
82.1%
Q1 - 7:20MEMGay Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)7
18.8%
5
81.2%
Q1 - 7:34SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)7
19.9%
5
80.1%
Q1 - 7:58SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
18.7%
5
81.3%
Q1 - 7:59MEMMISS Mayo 15' Jump Shot7
19.1%
5
80.9%
Q1 - 8:14SASMason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)7
19.5%
5
80.5%
Q1 - 8:20SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
21.5%
2
78.5%
Q1 - 8:22MEMMISS Gay 5' Jump Shot7
21.8%
2
78.2%
Q1 - 8:38MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
22.4%
2
77.6%
Q1 - 8:40SASMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot7
22.0%
2
78.0%
Q1 - 8:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)7
21.2%
2
78.8%
Q1 - 8:57SASMISS Mason Jr. 21' Jump Shot7
21.9%
2
78.1%
Q1 - 9:10MEMGay P.FOUL (P1.T1)7
2
Q1 - 9:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)7
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 9:24MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
20.9%
2
79.1%
Q1 - 9:31MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
21.3%
2
78.7%
Q1 - 9:33SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot7
21.1%
2
78.9%
Q1 - 9:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
20.4%
2
79.6%
Q1 - 9:53SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup7
20.9%
2
79.1%
Q1 - 10:17MEMConley 2' Layup (5 PTS)7
19.8%
2
80.2%
Q1 - 10:24SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)5
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 10:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
18.7%
2
81.3%
Q1 - 10:27SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot5
19.1%
2
80.9%
Q1 - 10:47MEMConley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)5
18.7%
2
81.3%
Q1 - 11:13SASFinley 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)2
18.0%
2
82.0%
Q1 - 11:32MEMGay 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)2
18.3%
0
81.7%
Q1 - 11:44SASOberto Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
18.3%
0
81.7%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Milicic: Tip to Oberto0
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMEMSAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.20 59.8%
SAS
1.24 61.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
19
33
58%
SAS
21
27
78%
Midrange
MEM
19
33
58%
SAS
13
33
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
SAS
9
13.5
16
56%
84%
Free Throws
MEM
10
12
83%
SAS
14
21
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
O. Mayo3276%16.0 / 21
R. Gay2672%13.0 / 18
M. Conley1393%6.5 / 7
M. Gasol1246%6.0 / 13
D. Milicic1169%5.5 / 8
K. Lowry233%1.0 / 3
H. Warrick233%1.0 / 3
Q. Ross0-0.0 / 2
M. Jaric0-0.0 / 1
D. Arthur0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Mason Jr.2077%10.0 / 13
T. Parker1568%7.5 / 11
M. Ginobili1470%7.0 / 10
M. Finley1267%6.0 / 9
G. Hill1286%6.0 / 7
T. Duncan1150%5.5 / 11
K. Thomas788%3.5 / 4
I. Udoka563%2.5 / 4
A. Tolliver563%2.5 / 4
F. Oberto450%2.0 / 4
M. Bonner450%2.0 / 4
B. Bowen0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
74
+8
-13
82
SAS
75
+12
-12
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.20 59.8%
SAS
1.24 61.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.4
108.3
MEM 112.6
SAS 125.3 +12.6
Pace
90.3
88.7
MEM 85.9
SAS 88.2 +2.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.5
MEM 16.8
SAS 16.3 −0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
51.3%
MEM 57.1%
SAS 62.5% +5.4%
TO %
15.6%
12.4%
MEM 14.5%
SAS 13.2% −1.3%
ORB %
25.9%
22.2%
MEM 20.0%
SAS 27.3% +7.3%
FTrt
32.9
25.1
MEM 15.6
SAS 27.6 +12.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
49.7%
57.1%
MEM 33.3%
SAS 72.1% +38.8%
STL %
8.2%
6.5%
MEM 6.9% +1.2%
SAS 5.7%
BLK %
7.9%
6.1%
MEM 5.0% +3.5%
SAS 1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.5%
53.4%
MEM 59.8%
SAS 61.9% +2.1%
Rim FG%
55.3%
58.8%
MEM 57.6%
SAS 77.8% +20.2%
Mid FG%
40.9%
42.7%
MEM 57.6% +18.2%
SAS 39.4%
3P %
36.0%
38.6%
MEM 36.4%
SAS 56.3% +19.9%
FT %
75.6%
76.2%
MEM 83.3% +16.6%
SAS 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
30.3%
MEM 42.9% +7.3%
SAS 35.5%
Mid Att. %
45.3%
44.9%
MEM 42.9% −0.6%
SAS 43.4%
3P Att. %
17.5%
24.8%
MEM 14.3%
SAS 21.1% +6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMEMSAS
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points98109
Rebounds3137
Assists1431
Steals65
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)28 (1)
Field Goals42-7743-76
At-the-Rim FG19-3321-27
Midrange FG19-3313-33
2-Point FG38-6634-60
3-Point FG4-119-16
Free Throws10-1214-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 230 · 22
43.3
26
72%
6
0
1
0
3
5
0
6
3-3
100%
10-12
83%
1-5
20%
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
42.1
32
76%
4
4
3
0
3
3
0
4
4-5
80%
11-17
65%
2-3
67%
C · 7'1" 255 · 24
33.1
12
46%
6
1
0
1
1
2
4
2
2-2
100%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 275 · 23
30.5
11
69%
6
1
0
1
0
4
2
4
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 21
29.7
13
93%
2
4
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
83%
1-1
100%
G · 6'0" 196 · 23
24.4
2
33%
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28
12.8
0
0%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 219 · 26
9.1
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 224 · 30
8.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
6.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 21
G · 6'4" 210 · 32
#8 · F · 6'9" 245 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · C · 7'2" 265 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
60%
31
14
6
3
13
0
7
24
10-12
83%
38-66
58%
4-11
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.