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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 29, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Thunder31%94111
29Grizzlies69%101103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.2
38.5
37.1
30
65%
7
2
1
1
2
3
0
7
14-16
88%
8-14
7-16
57%
47%
0-2
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.0
38.1
30.4
12
49%
5
4
2
2
0
2
5
0
2-3
67%
5-11
5-11
45%
42%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.3
31.8
33.9
22
71%
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
8-8
100%
4-8
4-10
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.9
29.1
22.3
11
46%
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
42%
1-3
33%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.2
15.2
25.1
6
75%
3
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-4
5-9
75%
53%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.5
30.2
22.7
9
52%
5
7
1
1
0
3
2
3
5-6
83%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.1
29.9
24.2
11
75%
4
1
0
1
2
0
0
4
1-3
33%
5-6
3-7
83%
45%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.3
19.9
19.4
10
71%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.1
7.2
23.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
50%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.8
8.1
0
1-3
45%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 22.8
6.3
0
0-1
46%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.6
2.9
0
0-1
48%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.0
Steven Hill
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.0
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.3
42.3
38.1
16
43%
5
2
0
1
1
5
1
4
2-4
50%
7-16
7-13
44%
51%
0-1
0%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.1
42.3
38.6
30
62%
7
2
1
1
0
3
1
6
5-5
100%
8-16
6-13
50%
50%
3-6
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.1
30.9
26.3
8
116%
2
6
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.8
24.9
30.3
16
82%
6
2
0
1
0
2
2
4
4-4
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
54%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.7
8.2
14.0
4
100%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.2
24.0
2.2
6
50%
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
0-0
75%
48%
0-2
0%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.9
18.0
3.6
7
47%
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
3-8
38%
2-4
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.7
17.1
23.5
9
75%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
1-1
100%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.4
16.6
24.6
4
100%
1
0
1
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-7
100%
48%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.4
15.6
15.2
3
80%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
2-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.3
8.4
0
1-2
46%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.0
7.4
0
1-1
45%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.6
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.