Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Spurs	32%	86	84	92.3	91	92.7
	4	Rockets	68%	92	103	113.0	92	90.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 33	28.6	17	40%	9	2	0	2	2	2	3	6	5-6	83%	6-18	33%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 27	26.8	15	47%	4	7	1	0	2	0	1	3	5-8	63%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Michael Finley F · 6'7" 225 · 36	22.4	5	50%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 28	21.7	8	57%	3	2	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 34	15.7	2	50%	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 23	23.6	3	17%	2	1	0	0	1	4	1	1	1-2	50%	1-8	13%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29	22.2	17	106%	5	1	2	0	0	2	1	4	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	3-4	75%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 31	21.7	11	61%	3	2	0	0	5	2	0	3	6-6	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 37	21.6	2	33%	1	0	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 36	15.3	0	0%	3	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31	10.4	2	33%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 23	10.1	2	20%	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Jacque Vaughn #11 · G · 6'1" 190 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Blake Ahearn #19 · G · 6'2" 190 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	46%	39	18	4	3	14	0	8	31	21-27	78%	24-60	40%	5-17	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

8 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 33	28.6	17	40%	9	2	0	2	2	2	3	6	5-6	83%	6-18	33%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 27	26.8	15	47%	4	7	1	0	2	0	1	3	5-8	63%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Michael Finley F · 6'7" 225 · 36	22.4	5	50%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 28	21.7	8	57%	3	2	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 34	15.7	2	50%	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 23	23.6	3	17%	2	1	0	0	1	4	1	1	1-2	50%	1-8	13%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29	22.2	17	106%	5	1	2	0	0	2	1	4	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	3-4	75%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 31	21.7	11	61%	3	2	0	0	5	2	0	3	6-6	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 37	21.6	2	33%	1	0	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 36	15.3	0	0%	3	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31	10.4	2	33%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 23	10.1	2	20%	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Jacque Vaughn #11 · G · 6'1" 190 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Blake Ahearn #19 · G · 6'2" 190 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	46%	39	18	4	3	14	0	8	31	21-27	78%	24-60	40%	5-17	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

4 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luther Head G · 6'3" 185 · 26	41.2	21	81%	5	4	2	0	0	2	0	5	5-5	100%	5-6	83%	2-5	40%
Metta World Peace F · 6'7" 260 · 29	33.6	16	40%	8	3	2	1	2	3	1	7	7-10	70%	3-11	27%	1-4	25%
Rafer Alston G · 6'2" 175 · 32	33.1	12	60%	2	6	2	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Yao Ming C · 7'6" 310 · 28	27.7	12	55%	1	2	1	3	2	1	0	1	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Luis Scola F · 6'9" 241 · 29	25.0	11	69%	3	1	1	0	1	2	0	3	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-0	-

Aaron Brooks G · 6'0" 161 · 24	20.4	11	50%	2	3	1	0	0	3	0	2	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	0-3	0%
Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25	19.6	1	17%	7	2	1	0	0	4	1	6	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 30	18.6	15	68%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	1-3	33%
Carl Landry F · 6'9" 248 · 25	13.1	4	50%	2	0	2	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Von Wafer G · 6'5" 209 · 23	6.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Joey Dorsey · 6'8" 268 · 25	1.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 37	\| DND - Strained Right Calf
Tracy McGrady #1 · G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Steve Francis #3 · G · 6'3" 210 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	55%	34	22	12	4	7	0	3	31	20-24	83%	33-61	54%	6-20	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	HOU

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.92 46.2%

HOU

1.09 54.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

10

19

53%

HOU

17

26

65%

Midrange

SAS

14

41

34%

HOU

16

35

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

5

7.5

17

29%

44%

HOU

6

9.0

20

30%

45%

Free Throws

SAS

21

27

78%

HOU

20

24

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	17	40%	8.5 / 21
M. Bonner	17	106%	8.5 / 8
T. Parker	15	47%	7.5 / 16
M. Ginobili	11	61%	5.5 / 9
R. Mason Jr.	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Finley	5	50%	2.5 / 5
G. Hill	3	17%	1.5 / 9
F. Oberto	2	50%	1.0 / 2
B. Bowen	2	33%	1.0 / 3
I. Udoka	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Tolliver	2	20%	1.0 / 5
K. Thomas	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Head	21	81%	10.5 / 13
M. World Peace	16	40%	8.0 / 20
S. Battier	15	68%	7.5 / 11
R. Alston	12	60%	6.0 / 10
Yao	12	55%	6.0 / 11
L. Scola	11	69%	5.5 / 8
A. Brooks	11	50%	5.5 / 11
C. Landry	4	50%	2.0 / 4
C. Hayes	1	17%	0.5 / 3
V. Wafer	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 108.3 17 107.9	SAS 92.3 HOU 113.0 +20.7
Pace	26 88.7 19 90.7	SAS 92.7 +2.3 HOU 90.4
Avg. Poss. Time	5 16.5 9 16.2	SAS 15.5 −0.4 HOU 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 51.3% 13 50.1%	SAS 40.9% HOU 51.9% +11.0%
TO %	1 12.4% 18 14.6%	SAS 13.6% HOU 7.1% −6.5%
ORB %	30 22.1% 17 26.4%	SAS 20.5% +11.7% HOU 8.8%
FTrt	30 25.1 20 29.2	SAS 35.1 +5.5 HOU 29.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 57.1% 13 56.2%	SAS 62.1% +5.7% HOU 56.4%
STL %	30 6.5% 24 7.4%	SAS 4.4% HOU 13.0% +8.6%
BLK %	29 6.1% 25 6.5%	SAS 4.9% HOU 6.7% +1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 53.4% 16 53.0%	SAS 46.2% HOU 54.7% +8.5%
Rim FG%	11 58.8% 28 55.5%	SAS 52.6% HOU 65.4% +12.8%
Mid FG%	3 42.7% 9 41.5%	SAS 34.1% HOU 45.7% +11.6%
3P %	3 38.6% 10 37.5%	SAS 29.4% HOU 30.0% +0.6%
FT %	19 76.2% 5 80.7%	SAS 77.8% HOU 83.3% +5.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 30.3% 17 34.8%	SAS 24.7% HOU 32.1% +7.4%
Mid Att. %	21 44.9% 6 39.8%	SAS 53.2% HOU 43.2% −10.0%
3P Att. %	7 24.8% 5 25.4%	SAS 22.1% HOU 24.7% +2.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	HOU
Possessions	91	92
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	84	104
Rebounds	39	34
Assists	18	22
Steals	4	12
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (6)	3 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	31 (5)
Field Goals	29-77	39-81
At-the-Rim FG	10-19	17-26
Midrange FG	14-41	16-35
2-Point FG	24-60	33-61
3-Point FG	5-17	6-20
Free Throws	21-27	20-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg