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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 30, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Trail Blazers41%9296
11Pistons59%9585
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
39.5
28.2
27
64%
4
2
2
1
1
0
3
1
5-5
100%
11-18
6-12
61%
48%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 28.8
36.0
28.1
10
48%
2
7
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.4
33.0
34.1
19
63%
4
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
4-5
80%
6-11
6-12
55%
48%
1-2
50%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.0
31.0
17.8
7
44%
7
4
0
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 20.9
30.8
22.0
11
83%
13
1
1
0
3
2
2
11
5-6
83%
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 23.7
17.4
22.8
3
38%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.1
17.2
23.2
3
80%
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.2
17.0
23.2
6
60%
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
43%
2-3
67%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.5
12.0
17.3
8
84%
0
2
0
1
0
3
0
0
1-4
25%
2-2
1-3
100%
42%
1-1
100%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.5
6.0
15.4
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.3
2.9
0
0-1
43%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
1.6
0
0-1
47%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.0
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.0
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.2
38.8
31.5
11
46%
1
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
3-7
43%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.8
33.9
29.5
18
61%
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
6-6
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.5
31.8
29.4
9
39%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
5-6
83%
2-9
4-9
22%
47%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.8
22.3
30.9
10
56%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.7
20.2
12.5
6
80%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-4
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.6
25.7
22.3
15
50%
6
5
1
1
1
5
1
5
5-7
71%
5-10
3-7
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.6
23.3
18.1
8
80%
8
0
0
1
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
56%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.1
20.4
19.5
2
35%
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.4
13.6
11.6
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.8
10.0
24.6
4
50%
2
1
3
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.9
5.4
0
1-2
46%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.9
2.2
0
0-1
48%
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.