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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 30, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Bulls35%96103
1676ers65%10192
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.2
40.5
36.7
18
57%
5
10
1
1
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
8-15
6-14
53%
46%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.7
37.1
37.6
21
67%
6
4
1
1
1
1
0
6
4-4
100%
4-7
5-10
57%
46%
3-7
43%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.2
32.7
30.4
20
68%
12
3
1
1
0
2
3
9
4-4
100%
8-13
5-12
62%
47%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
31.6
19.4
8
51%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.8
13.6
14.0
4
42%
4
0
0
1
2
0
1
3
2-4
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.3
24.7
14.1
8
59%
4
0
1
1
2
4
1
3
2-4
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
42%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.9
24.1
32.0
16
80%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
4-9
50%
41%
4-6
67%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.0
17.3
15.1
4
52%
5
2
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.0
10.9
17.0
4
69%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.0
7.5
14.2
0
0%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
8.5
0
1-2
47%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
1.5
0
0-0
43%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.9
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.7
40.7
32.6
21
60%
12
1
0
1
0
3
2
10
5-6
83%
8-15
7-14
53%
51%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.4
35.8
29.2
17
61%
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
7-12
4-8
58%
54%
1-2
50%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
34.2
34.8
8
39%
3
6
0
2
0
4
1
2
2-3
67%
3-8
5-9
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.7
33.8
31.5
15
51%
1
10
3
1
0
0
0
1
4-6
67%
4-11
5-11
36%
49%
1-1
100%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.6
15.1
26.3
4
33%
4
0
0
0
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.3
20.9
21.1
12
102%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
47%
2-3
67%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.3
18.9
13.2
6
61%
7
0
1
0
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.1
14.8
18.7
2
11%
0
3
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
45%
0-4
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.9
14.2
6.1
7
50%
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
44%
1-2
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.5
7.7
10.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
3.9
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.5
2.9
0
0-0
47%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.7
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.