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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 1, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Heat46%101130
16Warriors54%103129
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.9
43.3
36.8
37
55%
5
13
0
2
3
7
1
4
12-13
92%
11-22
9-17
50%
51%
1-6
17%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.5
41.7
33.6
21
80%
13
2
0
1
2
1
6
7
5-5
100%
8-11
5-9
73%
50%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.6
41.6
35.2
21
62%
15
2
3
2
1
1
7
8
2-2
100%
8-12
5-10
67%
56%
1-4
25%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.3
23.7
21.1
1
13%
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.5
23.5
32.8
12
68%
3
6
1
2
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.6
32.3
22.6
11
69%
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
3-4
75%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.9
24.4
23.1
19
54%
6
0
1
1
1
2
2
4
5-6
83%
7-15
5-10
47%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.2
18.9
13.6
8
62%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
43%
1-4
25%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.3
10.4
11.9
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.0
5.1
7.2
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.0
6.6
0
1-2
48%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 23.2
6.0
0
1-2
46%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.0
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.2
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.7
50.4
34.1
40
69%
1
7
0
1
0
1
1
0
14-16
88%
7-14
4-8
50%
44%
4-8
50%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.7
49.4
24.4
8
31%
1
11
1
1
0
4
0
1
4-4
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
46%
0-3
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.1
46.5
34.2
29
63%
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
17-18
94%
6-12
5-10
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.7
35.0
29.3
17
72%
15
2
2
1
1
2
5
10
3-4
75%
7-10
5-9
70%
59%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.2
31.2
12.8
15
54%
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
3
1-2
50%
7-13
2-4
54%
54%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.6
27.1
26.4
8
59%
4
3
4
1
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 25.9
18.2
12.9
6
61%
3
1
0
0
5
1
2
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.4
7.3
13.1
6
61%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
17.5
1
2-4
46%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.7
6.4
0
1-1
46%
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 23.7
4.8
0
1-1
49%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.0
2.5
0
0-0
40%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.0
DeMarcus Nelson
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.