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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 2, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Pistons39%8889
8Spurs61%9277
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.5
41.8
30.1
19
54%
2
6
4
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.8
41.2
27.3
15
42%
12
5
0
0
1
0
1
11
1-2
50%
7-17
3-7
41%
47%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.2
39.4
34.3
19
74%
5
0
1
1
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
4-6
67%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.8
27.1
31.3
16
67%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
47%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.7
21.4
15.7
0
0%
8
1
1
0
0
4
0
8
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.6
30.8
23.5
10
56%
2
7
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
5-8
3-8
63%
42%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.1
18.4
19.8
2
50%
1
0
3
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.6
13.0
20.3
4
52%
4
0
1
1
1
0
3
1
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.8
7.0
18.2
4
52%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
2-3
3-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.4
12.3
0
1-2
50%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.9
3.7
0
0-1
44%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.9
1.4
0
0-0
46%
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.6
39.9
29.5
23
53%
13
2
1
1
1
4
3
10
5-6
83%
9-19
7-13
47%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.5
35.6
23.4
18
51%
4
5
1
1
0
3
2
2
6-8
75%
6-13
6-11
46%
51%
0-1
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.7
34.3
25.4
5
31%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
1-6
17%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.3
27.8
20.4
13
51%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
2-6
33%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.7
24.8
17.7
5
31%
9
2
0
0
0
2
2
7
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
1-5
20%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.2
30.7
29.4
6
47%
2
1
0
1
0
5
1
1
1-1
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.5
16.1
22.1
5
83%
3
0
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.7
14.4
18.3
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
58%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.6
6.4
25.1
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-8
-
45%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.8
6.0
6.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.3
4.0
14.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.2
12.4
0
1-3
47%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.1
Blake Ahearn
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.