Final Win Prob. pScore
1139%88
89
861%92
77
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo Pistons
100.08994.4
SAS logo Spurs
87.58883.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0DET89
100%
77
0%
Q4 - 0:19.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)89
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Layup89
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0DETIverson Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)89
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0SASParker S.FOUL (P1.T3)88
77
Q4 - 0:28.0DETIverson 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)88
77
Q4 - 0:38.0SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)86
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETHamilton L.B.FOUL (P5.T4)86
77
Q4 - 0:53.0DETHamilton Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)86
99.6%
77
0.4%
Q4 - 1:15SASParker 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)86
99.6%
77
0.4%
Q4 - 1:24DETHamilton 15' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Stuckey 7 AST)86
99.7%
75
0.3%
Q4 - 1:45SASParker 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)84
99.1%
75
0.9%
Q4 - 1:53DETWallace 28' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)84
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 2:07DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)81
73
Q4 - 2:15DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)81
98.6%
73
1.4%
Q4 - 2:16SASMISS Ginobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
98.3%
73
1.7%
Q4 - 2:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)81
97.4%
73
2.6%
Q4 - 2:23DETMISS Stuckey 21' Jump Shot81
97.8%
73
2.2%
Q4 - 2:45SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)81
98.7%
73
1.3%
Q4 - 3:04DETWallace 28' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Iverson 6 AST)81
99.0%
70
1.0%
Q4 - 3:26DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
97.9%
70
2.1%
Q4 - 3:28SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot78
97.6%
70
2.4%
Q4 - 3:39SASSUB: Finley FOR Bonner78
70
Q4 - 3:39DETIverson P.FOUL (P1.T3)78
70
Q4 - 3:53DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stuckey 6 AST)78
93.9%
70
6.1%
Q4 - 4:08DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)76
91.8%
70
8.2%
Q4 - 4:10SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot76
90.8%
70
9.2%
Q4 - 4:24SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Finley76
70
Q4 - 4:24DETSUB: Prince FOR Afflalo76
70
Q4 - 4:24DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Johnson76
70
Q4 - 4:24SASSUB: Bonner FOR Udoka76
70
Q4 - 4:24SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)76
70
Q4 - 4:25DETStuckey 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)76
88.2%
70
11.8%
Q4 - 4:40SASMason Jr. Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T16)74
84.0%
70
16.0%
Q4 - 4:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)74
77.6%
70
22.4%
Q4 - 4:52DETMISS Iverson 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
79.8%
70
20.2%
Q4 - 5:14SASMason Jr. 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)74
79.9%
70
20.1%
Q4 - 5:38DETIverson 1' Reverse Layup (16 PTS)74
88.6%
67
11.4%
Q4 - 5:45DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)72
85.0%
67
15.0%
Q4 - 5:47SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot72
83.5%
67
16.5%
Q4 - 6:07DETStuckey 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)72
76.5%
67
23.5%
Q4 - 6:14DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
71.0%
67
29.0%
Q4 - 6:15DETMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot70
66.3%
67
33.7%
Q4 - 6:30SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)70
71.1%
67
28.9%
Q4 - 6:30SASSPURS Rebound70
66
Q4 - 6:30SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 270
72.8%
66
27.2%
Q4 - 6:30DETWallace S.FOUL (P4.T2)70
66
Q4 - 6:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)70
70.8%
66
29.2%
Q4 - 6:31SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot70
75.2%
66
24.8%
Q4 - 6:51SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
70.9%
66
29.1%
Q4 - 6:52DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
72.9%
66
27.1%
Q4 - 7:06SASParker Traveling Turnover (P3.T15)70
74.4%
66
25.6%
Q4 - 7:28DETJohnson 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)70
68.4%
66
31.6%
Q4 - 7:44SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)68
62.6%
66
37.4%
Q4 - 8:03DETWallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Iverson 5 AST)68
54.6%
66
45.4%
Q4 - 8:25DETSUB: Wallace FOR Prince65
66
Q4 - 8:25SASSUB: Udoka FOR Bonner65
66
Q4 - 8:25SASSUB: Duncan FOR Oberto65
66
Q4 - 8:2565
66
Q4 - 8:25SASMason Jr. P.FOUL (P2.T2)65
66
Q4 - 8:25SASMason Jr. Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)65
41.5%
66
58.5%
Q4 - 8:45SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
35.6%
66
64.4%
Q4 - 8:46DETMISS Prince 8' Running Jump Shot65
37.3%
66
62.7%
Q4 - 9:02DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)65
41.6%
66
58.4%
Q4 - 9:03DETMISS Iverson 3' Reverse Layup65
37.8%
66
62.2%
Q4 - 9:13DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)65
41.6%
66
58.4%
Q4 - 9:14SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot65
39.9%
66
60.1%
Q4 - 9:28DETIverson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)65
36.1%
66
63.9%
Q4 - 9:48SASFinley 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)63
30.5%
66
69.5%
Q4 - 10:03DETSUB: Stuckey FOR Wallace63
64
Q4 - 10:03SASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Ginobili63
64
Q4 - 10:03SASSUB: Parker FOR Vaughn63
64
Q4 - 10:03DETIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)63
36.1%
64
63.9%
Q4 - 10:12DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)63
41.4%
64
58.6%
Q4 - 10:13SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot63
39.7%
64
60.3%
Q4 - 10:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
36.1%
64
63.9%
Q4 - 10:22DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot63
37.7%
64
62.3%
Q4 - 10:30SASBonner Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)63
41.4%
64
58.6%
Q4 - 10:31SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
36.1%
64
63.9%
Q4 - 10:33SASMISS Oberto 2' Reverse Layup63
39.7%
64
60.3%
Q4 - 10:49DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)63
36.1%
64
63.9%
Q4 - 10:49DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)62
34.9%
64
65.1%
Q4 - 10:49SASGinobili S.FOUL (P1.T1)61
64
Q4 - 10:55DETIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
30.9%
64
69.1%
Q4 - 10:57SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
29.5%
64
70.5%
Q4 - 11:17SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
27.1%
64
72.9%
Q4 - 11:17DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot61
28.3%
64
71.7%
Q4 - 11:43SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
31.2%
64
68.8%
Q4 - 11:43SASSUB: Finley FOR Bowen61
63
Q4 - 11:43SASSPURS Rebound61
63
Q4 - 11:43SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 261
31.8%
63
68.2%
Q4 - 11:43DETAfflalo S.FOUL (P3.T1)61
63
Q4 - 12:0061
63
Q3 - 0:00.0DET61
31.5%
63
68.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound61
36.0%
63
64.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Iverson 28' 3PT Running Jump Shot61
32.8%
63
67.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)61
36.0%
63
64.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot61
34.7%
63
65.3%
Q3 - 0:11.0DETStuckey 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)61
31.9%
63
68.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)59
27.2%
63
72.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0DETIverson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)59
36.5%
60
63.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETPistons Rebound56
27.2%
60
72.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0SASMISS Duncan 9' Running Hook Shot56
26.1%
60
73.9%
Q3 - 1:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)56
24.0%
60
76.0%
Q3 - 1:24DETMISS Stuckey 2' Layup56
25.0%
60
75.0%
Q3 - 1:32SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)56
27.4%
60
72.6%
Q3 - 1:46DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
24.0%
60
76.0%
Q3 - 1:46SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Mason Jr.55
60
Q3 - 1:46DETPistons Rebound55
60
Q3 - 1:46DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 255
23.1%
60
76.9%
Q3 - 1:46SASBowen S.FOUL (P1.T4)55
60
Q3 - 2:03SASBonner L.B.FOUL (P4.T3)55
60
Q3 - 2:03SASMason Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)55
24.2%
60
75.8%
Q3 - 2:19DETWallace 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS)55
20.9%
60
79.1%
Q3 - 2:34DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
18.0%
60
82.0%
Q3 - 2:36SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot53
17.1%
60
82.9%
Q3 - 2:59DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)53
15.4%
60
84.6%
Q3 - 3:13DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)50
60
Q3 - 3:14SASBowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)50
11.8%
60
88.2%
Q3 - 3:37SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
15.9%
57
84.1%
Q3 - 3:38DETMISS Iverson 20' Jump Shot50
16.7%
57
83.3%
Q3 - 4:00SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker50
57
Q3 - 4:00SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T9)50
18.6%
57
81.4%
Q3 - 4:00SASDuncan OFF.Foul (P2)50
57
Q3 - 4:08SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)50
16.2%
57
83.8%
Q3 - 4:10DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot50
17.0%
57
83.0%
Q3 - 4:19SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)50
19.1%
57
80.9%
Q3 - 4:38SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
16.2%
57
83.8%
Q3 - 4:39DETMISS Iverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
17.0%
57
83.0%
Q3 - 4:47DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
19.1%
57
80.9%
Q3 - 4:47SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot50
18.2%
57
81.8%
Q3 - 5:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)50
16.7%
57
83.3%
Q3 - 5:11SASMISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
18.6%
57
81.4%
Q3 - 5:28SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
16.6%
57
83.4%
Q3 - 5:29DETMISS Stuckey 14' Fadeaway Jumper50
17.5%
57
82.5%
Q3 - 5:38DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)50
19.4%
57
80.6%
Q3 - 5:39SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
18.5%
57
81.5%
Q3 - 5:47SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
16.6%
57
83.4%
Q3 - 5:48DETMISS Iverson 10' Jump Shot50
17.4%
57
82.6%
Q3 - 6:03SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
19.8%
57
80.2%
Q3 - 6:03SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)50
20.4%
56
79.6%
Q3 - 6:03DETStuckey S.FOUL (P2.T2)50
55
Q3 - 6:09DETSUB: Stuckey FOR Hamilton50
55
Q3 - 6:09SASMason Jr. Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)50
22.3%
55
77.7%
Q3 - 6:09DETWallace T.FOUL (P3.T1)50
54
Q3 - 6:09DETHamilton P.FOUL (P4.T1)50
54
Q3 - 6:17SASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Ginobili50
54
Q3 - 6:17DETWallace Foul Turnover (P2.T11)50
25.2%
54
74.8%
Q3 - 6:17DETWallace OFF.Foul (P3)50
54
Q3 - 6:28DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
28.6%
54
71.4%
Q3 - 6:29SASMISS Duncan 22' Jump Shot50
27.5%
54
72.5%
Q3 - 6:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)50
25.2%
54
74.8%
Q3 - 6:39DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot50
26.2%
54
73.8%
Q3 - 6:57SASParker 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)50
28.6%
54
71.4%
Q3 - 7:18SASSUB: Bowen FOR Finley50
52
Q3 - 7:18SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)50
52
Q3 - 7:18DETIverson 1' Layup (9 PTS)50
31.7%
52
68.3%
Q3 - 7:21SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)48
28.6%
52
71.4%
Q3 - 7:34DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Iverson 4 AST)48
25.4%
52
74.6%
Q3 - 7:51SASDuncan 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (22 PTS)46
22.7%
52
77.3%
Q3 - 8:14DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)46
25.5%
50
74.5%
Q3 - 8:27SASBonner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)44
22.9%
50
77.1%
Q3 - 8:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
20.2%
50
79.8%
Q3 - 8:38DETMISS Brown 2' Layup44
21.0%
50
79.0%
Q3 - 8:46SASBonner P.FOUL (P3.T2)44
50
Q3 - 8:50SASBonner P.FOUL (P2.T1)44
50
Q3 - 8:50DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
22.9%
50
77.1%
Q3 - 8:52DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot44
21.0%
50
79.0%
Q3 - 8:58DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
22.9%
50
77.1%
Q3 - 8:59SASMISS Parker 6' Floating Jump Shot44
22.1%
50
77.9%
Q3 - 9:14DETDuncan STEAL (1 STL)44
20.5%
50
79.5%
Q3 - 9:33DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
23.1%
50
76.9%
Q3 - 9:34SASMISS Bonner 23' Jump Shot44
22.3%
50
77.7%
Q3 - 9:55DETPrince 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)44
20.5%
50
79.5%
Q3 - 10:08DETIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
18.6%
50
81.4%
Q3 - 10:09SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
18.0%
50
82.0%
Q3 - 10:35DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)42
16.5%
50
83.5%
Q3 - 10:49SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)40
14.6%
50
85.4%
Q3 - 11:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
16.9%
48
83.1%
Q3 - 11:15DETMISS Iverson 16' Jump Shot40
17.5%
48
82.5%
Q3 - 11:34SASBonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)40
19.1%
48
80.9%
Q3 - 11:42SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
23.5%
45
76.5%
Q3 - 11:43DETMISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot40
24.4%
45
75.6%
Q3 - 12:0040
45
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS40
26.3%
45
73.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET40
45
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPrince 1' Layup (7 PTS)40
23.5%
45
76.5%
Q2 - 0:05.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
21.4%
45
78.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot38
20.9%
45
79.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
19.7%
45
80.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0DETMISS Prince 10' Jump Shot38
20.2%
45
79.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
21.4%
45
78.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 238
21.2%
45
78.8%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)38
19.7%
45
80.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0DETWallace P.FOUL (P2.PN)38
44
Q2 - 0:54.0DETParker STEAL (1 STL)38
21.9%
44
78.1%
Q2 - 1:11SASDuncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)38
24.0%
44
76.0%
Q2 - 1:33DETPrince 2' Layup (5 PTS)38
27.1%
42
72.9%
Q2 - 1:55SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)36
23.9%
42
76.1%
Q2 - 2:06SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
29.4%
39
70.6%
Q2 - 2:07DETMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot36
30.2%
39
69.8%
Q2 - 2:14SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)36
32.2%
39
67.8%
Q2 - 2:14SASSPURS Rebound36
38
Q2 - 2:14SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 236
32.8%
38
67.2%
Q2 - 2:14DETStuckey S.FOUL (P1.PN)36
38
Q2 - 2:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
32.1%
38
67.9%
Q2 - 2:30SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
34.1%
38
65.9%
Q2 - 2:36DETBowen STEAL (2 STL)36
32.1%
38
67.9%
Q2 - 2:52SASDuncan 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)36
35.0%
38
65.0%
Q2 - 3:09DETSUB: Afflalo FOR Hamilton36
36
Q2 - 3:09DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T7)36
37.6%
36
62.4%
Q2 - 3:09DETHamilton OFF.Foul (P3)36
36
Q2 - 3:22SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)36
41.0%
36
59.0%
Q2 - 3:22DETSUB: Wallace FOR Maxiell36
35
Q2 - 3:22SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)36
41.9%
35
58.1%
Q2 - 3:22DETMaxiell S.FOUL (P1.PN)36
34
Q2 - 3:33DETBowen STEAL (1 STL)36
43.6%
34
56.4%
Q2 - 3:47SASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Ginobili36
34
Q2 - 3:47DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)36
34
Q2 - 3:57SASGinobili 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)36
47.2%
34
52.8%
Q2 - 4:05SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
49.4%
32
50.6%
Q2 - 4:06DETMISS Hamilton 10' Jump Shot36
50.4%
32
49.6%
Q2 - 4:23SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
52.7%
32
47.3%
Q2 - 4:23DETSUB: Iverson FOR Afflalo36
31
Q2 - 4:23SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
53.1%
31
46.9%
Q2 - 4:23DETAfflalo S.FOUL (P2.T4)36
30
Q2 - 4:41DETHamilton 15' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)36
55.5%
30
44.5%
Q2 - 4:46DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
52.7%
30
47.3%
Q2 - 4:47SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Bank Shot34
51.7%
30
48.3%
Q2 - 5:01SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
49.3%
30
50.7%
Q2 - 5:02DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 234
49.7%
30
50.3%
Q2 - 5:02DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
51.7%
30
48.3%
Q2 - 5:02SASDuncan L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)33
30
Q2 - 5:02DETPistons Rebound33
49.2%
30
50.8%
Q2 - 5:04SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
48.3%
30
51.7%
Q2 - 5:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
46.4%
30
53.6%
Q2 - 5:14DETMISS Maxiell 3' Layup33
47.2%
30
52.8%
Q2 - 5:40SASBowen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)33
49.2%
30
50.8%
Q2 - 5:52SASSUB: Bowen FOR Mason Jr.33
28
Q2 - 5:52SASSUB: Duncan FOR Oberto33
28
Q2 - 5:5233
28
Q2 - 5:52DETAfflalo Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T5)33
52.3%
28
47.7%
Q2 - 5:55SASOberto Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)33
55.2%
28
44.8%
Q2 - 6:01SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
51.4%
28
48.6%
Q2 - 6:03SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
53.8%
28
46.2%
Q2 - 6:24DETPrince 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)33
51.5%
28
48.5%
Q2 - 6:46SASOberto 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)31
49.1%
28
50.9%
Q2 - 7:10DETMaxiell 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)31
51.2%
26
48.8%
Q2 - 7:14SASMason Jr. Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)29
48.5%
26
51.5%
Q2 - 7:21SASSUB: Parker FOR Hill29
26
Q2 - 7:21DETHamilton P.FOUL (P2.T3)29
26
Q2 - 7:36DETMaxiell 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)29
45.6%
26
54.4%
Q2 - 7:44DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
42.9%
26
57.1%
Q2 - 7:45SASMISS Mason Jr. 13' Jump Shot27
42.0%
26
58.0%
Q2 - 8:12DETHamilton 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)27
39.9%
26
60.1%
Q2 - 8:24DETPistons Rebound25
37.3%
26
62.7%
Q2 - 8:25SASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot25
36.5%
26
63.5%
Q2 - 8:32SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
34.8%
26
65.2%
Q2 - 8:34DETMISS Hamilton 11' Jump Shot25
35.5%
26
64.5%
Q2 - 8:43SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)25
37.3%
26
62.7%
Q2 - 9:00DETAfflalo Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)25
34.8%
26
65.2%
Q2 - 9:06DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
32.2%
26
67.8%
Q2 - 9:08SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
31.4%
26
68.6%
Q2 - 9:12SASSUB: Finley FOR Bonner23
26
Q2 - 9:12DETSUB: Prince FOR Johnson23
26
Q2 - 9:12SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)23
26
Q2 - 9:24DETStuckey 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)23
29.8%
26
70.2%
Q2 - 9:28DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
27.7%
26
72.3%
Q2 - 9:30SASMISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
27.0%
26
73.0%
Q2 - 9:53SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
25.6%
26
74.4%
Q2 - 9:54DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 221
25.8%
26
74.2%
Q2 - 9:54DETPistons Rebound21
26
Q2 - 9:54DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 221
26.9%
26
73.1%
Q2 - 9:54SASOberto S.FOUL (P1.T4)21
26
Q2 - 10:02DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
27.9%
26
72.1%
Q2 - 10:03SASMISS Ginobili 17' Step Back Jump Shot21
27.3%
26
72.7%
Q2 - 10:22DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)21
25.8%
26
74.2%
Q2 - 10:22DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
25.5%
26
74.5%
Q2 - 10:22SASSUB: Bonner FOR Duncan19
26
Q2 - 10:22DETSUB: Maxiell FOR Wallace19
26
Q2 - 10:22SASHill S.FOUL (P2.T3)19
26
Q2 - 10:38SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)19
23.9%
26
76.1%
Q2 - 10:38DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Iverson19
25
Q2 - 10:38SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)19
24.4%
25
75.6%
Q2 - 10:38DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T2)19
24
Q2 - 10:51DETIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)19
25.8%
24
74.2%
Q2 - 11:08SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)19
28.1%
24
71.9%
Q2 - 11:21DETAfflalo P.FOUL (P1.T1)19
22
Q2 - 11:23SASSPURS Rebound19
30.2%
22
69.8%
Q2 - 11:23SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup19
31.7%
22
68.3%
Q2 - 11:30DETJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
30.2%
22
69.8%
Q2 - 11:30DETJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
29.7%
22
70.3%
Q2 - 11:30SASHill S.FOUL (P1.T2)17
22
Q2 - 11:33SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)17
28.1%
22
71.9%
Q2 - 11:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
26.1%
22
73.9%
Q2 - 11:44DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 217
26.3%
22
73.7%
Q2 - 11:44DETPistons Rebound17
22
Q2 - 11:44DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 217
27.7%
22
72.3%
Q2 - 11:44SASMason Jr. S.FOUL (P1.T1)17
22
Q2 - 12:0017
22
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS17
28.1%
22
71.9%
Q1 - 0:18.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
26.4%
22
73.6%
Q1 - 0:20.0DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot17
26.9%
22
73.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
27.9%
22
72.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
27.9%
22
72.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0DETMISS Johnson 1' Tip Shot17
26.9%
22
73.1%
Q1 - 0:37.0DETMISS Prince 2' Layup17
26.9%
22
73.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
27.9%
22
72.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0DETMISS Iverson 2' Reverse Layup17
26.9%
22
73.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASMason Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)17
27.9%
22
72.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
26.4%
22
73.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0DETMISS Wallace 9' Jump Shot17
26.9%
22
73.1%
Q1 - 1:18SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)17
28.1%
22
71.9%
Q1 - 1:35DETStuckey 12' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
30.7%
20
69.3%
Q1 - 1:47SASSUB: Hill FOR Parker15
20
Q1 - 1:55SASMason Jr. 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)15
28.1%
20
71.9%
Q1 - 2:02SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
30.8%
18
69.2%
Q1 - 2:03SASMISS Parker 5' Running Jump Shot15
31.9%
18
68.1%
Q1 - 2:21DETIverson 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)15
30.8%
18
69.2%
Q1 - 2:36SASSUB: Bowen FOR Finley13
18
Q1 - 2:36DETSUB: Stuckey FOR Hamilton13
18
Q1 - 2:36DETSUB: Johnson FOR Brown13
18
Q1 - 2:36DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)13
18
Q1 - 2:38SASDuncan 3' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)13
28.5%
18
71.5%
Q1 - 2:53SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
30.8%
16
69.2%
Q1 - 2:55SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot13
31.9%
16
68.1%
Q1 - 3:16SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
30.6%
16
69.4%
Q1 - 3:19SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot13
32.0%
16
68.0%
Q1 - 3:42DETIverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)13
30.6%
16
69.4%
Q1 - 4:02SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)10
27.8%
16
72.2%
Q1 - 4:02SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)10
28.1%
15
71.9%
Q1 - 4:02DETBrown S.FOUL (P1.T2)10
14
Q1 - 4:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
29.3%
14
70.7%
Q1 - 4:09DETDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)10
29.9%
14
70.1%
Q1 - 4:25SASDuncan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
31.2%
14
68.8%
Q1 - 4:43SASSUB: Oberto FOR Bonner10
12
Q1 - 4:43SASSPURS Rebound10
32.9%
12
67.1%
Q1 - 4:46DETMISS Hamilton 8' Jump Shot10
33.5%
12
66.5%
Q1 - 4:57DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
34.9%
12
65.1%
Q1 - 4:58SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot10
34.3%
12
65.7%
Q1 - 5:10DETBrown Traveling Turnover (P3.T3)10
33.0%
12
67.0%
Q1 - 5:24DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
35.0%
12
65.0%
Q1 - 5:25SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot10
34.4%
12
65.6%
Q1 - 5:38SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
33.1%
12
66.9%
Q1 - 5:39DETMISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot10
33.7%
12
66.3%
Q1 - 5:53SASBonner 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)10
35.1%
12
64.9%
Q1 - 6:15SASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Ginobili10
10
Q1 - 6:15SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
10
Q1 - 6:18DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)10
36.5%
10
63.5%
Q1 - 6:24DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
35.0%
10
65.0%
Q1 - 6:25SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
34.4%
10
65.6%
Q1 - 6:34SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
33.4%
10
66.6%
Q1 - 6:35DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot8
33.9%
10
66.1%
Q1 - 6:40SASBonner P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
10
Q1 - 6:55SASGinobili 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)8
35.1%
10
64.9%
Q1 - 7:08DETBrown 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T2)8
36.4%
8
63.6%
Q1 - 7:16DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
38.2%
8
61.8%
Q1 - 7:17SASMISS Parker 4' Driving Layup8
37.7%
8
62.3%
Q1 - 7:24DETGinobili STEAL (1 STL)8
36.5%
8
63.5%
Q1 - 7:44SASParker 1' Layup (6 PTS)8
38.2%
8
61.8%
Q1 - 7:50SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
39.6%
6
60.4%
Q1 - 7:52DETMISS Wallace 2' Finger Roll Layup8
40.1%
6
59.9%
Q1 - 8:08DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
41.0%
6
59.0%
Q1 - 8:09SASMISS Bonner 18' Jump Shot8
40.5%
6
59.5%
Q1 - 8:20SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
39.5%
6
60.5%
Q1 - 8:22DETMISS Iverson 16' Jump Shot8
39.9%
6
60.1%
Q1 - 8:32DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
40.9%
6
59.1%
Q1 - 8:34SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
40.4%
6
59.6%
Q1 - 8:49DETHamilton P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
6
Q1 - 9:04DETHamilton 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)8
39.4%
6
60.6%
Q1 - 9:13DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
38.2%
6
61.8%
Q1 - 9:15SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot6
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 9:31DETWallace 1' Layup (2 PTS)6
37.2%
6
62.8%
Q1 - 9:57SASParker 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)4
36.4%
6
63.6%
Q1 - 10:06DETIverson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
37.4%
4
62.6%
Q1 - 10:19DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.8%
4
63.2%
Q1 - 10:20SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot2
36.6%
4
63.4%
Q1 - 10:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.2%
4
63.8%
Q1 - 10:27DETMISS Prince 15' Step Back Jump Shot2
36.5%
4
63.5%
Q1 - 10:52SASParker Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
37.3%
4
62.7%
Q1 - 11:05SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
37.9%
2
62.1%
Q1 - 11:06SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot2
38.2%
2
61.8%
Q1 - 11:22DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)2
38.1%
2
61.9%
Q1 - 11:43SASDuncan 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)0
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Brown: Tip to Finley0
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDETSAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.07 53.6%
SAS
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
15
24
63%
SAS
10
16
63%
Midrange
DET
16
39
41%
SAS
12
31
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
6
9.0
11
55%
82%
SAS
6
9.0
24
25%
38%
Free Throws
DET
9
15
60%
SAS
15
19
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Iverson1956%9.5 / 17
R. Wallace1973%9.5 / 13
R. Hamilton1673%8.0 / 11
T. Prince1542%7.5 / 18
R. Stuckey1056%5.0 / 9
A. Johnson450%2.0 / 4
J. Maxiell450%2.0 / 4
A. Afflalo250%1.0 / 2
K. Brown0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2352%11.5 / 22
T. Parker1850%9.0 / 18
M. Ginobili1350%6.5 / 13
R. Mason Jr.650%3.0 / 6
M. Finley531%2.5 / 8
M. Bonner531%2.5 / 8
B. Bowen583%2.5 / 3
F. Oberto250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
76
+7
-13
83
SAS
71
+10
-17
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.07 53.6%
SAS
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.8
108.3
DET 100.0 +12.5
SAS 87.5
Pace
87.3
88.7
DET 94.4 +11.1
SAS 83.3
Avg. Poss. Time
17.1
16.5
DET 15.3 −2.0
SAS 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
51.3%
DET 54.1% +10.4%
SAS 43.7%
TO %
12.7%
12.4%
DET 13.9% −3.7%
SAS 17.6%
ORB %
27.9%
22.2%
DET 15.8%
SAS 22.5% +6.7%
FTrt
28.2
25.1
DET 20.3
SAS 26.8 +6.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.7%
57.1%
DET 56.8%
SAS 60.7% +3.9%
STL %
6.8%
6.5%
DET 15.7% +10.0%
SAS 5.7%
BLK %
7.3%
6.1%
DET 6.4% +4.8%
SAS 1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
53.4%
DET 53.6% +6.6%
SAS 47.0%
Rim FG%
58.7%
58.8%
DET 62.5%
SAS 62.5%
Mid FG%
41.2%
42.7%
DET 41.0% +2.3%
SAS 38.7%
3P %
34.9%
38.6%
DET 54.5% +29.5%
SAS 25.0%
FT %
75.1%
76.2%
DET 60.0%
SAS 78.9% +18.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.0%
30.3%
DET 32.4% +9.9%
SAS 22.5%
Mid Att. %
53.5%
44.9%
DET 52.7%
SAS 43.7% −9.0%
3P Att. %
16.5%
24.8%
DET 14.9%
SAS 33.8% +18.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.
Game TotalsDETSAS
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points8977
Rebounds3741
Assists2117
Steals145
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (1)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)32 (1)
Field Goals37-7428-71
At-the-Rim FG15-2410-16
Midrange FG16-3912-31
2-Point FG31-6322-47
3-Point FG6-116-24
Free Throws9-1515-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 165 · 33
41.8
19
56%
2
6
4
0
3
1
0
2
1-1
100%
6-12
50%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 212 · 29
41.2
15
42%
12
5
0
1
0
0
1
11
1-2
50%
7-17
41%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 230 · 34
39.4
19
73%
5
0
1
0
2
4
1
4
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
4-6
67%
G · 6'7" 193 · 31
27.1
16
73%
2
1
1
0
2
5
0
2
2-2
100%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 290 · 27
21.4
0
0%
8
1
1
0
4
1
0
8
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 23
30.8
10
56%
2
7
2
0
1
2
1
1
0-2
0%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
18.4
2
50%
1
0
3
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22
13.0
4
50%
4
0
1
1
0
0
3
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 26
7.0
4
50%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 29
G · 6'0" 185 · 26
G · 6'5" 185 · 26
#42 · F · 6'9" 245 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
54%
37
21
14
3
13
0
6
31
9-15
60%
31-63
49%
6-11
55%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.