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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 3, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Trail Blazers55%9798
22Wizards45%9592
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
37.8
30.5
16
47%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
7-16
6-13
44%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.4
34.3
34.8
22
51%
8
4
0
1
0
4
4
4
4-6
67%
9-18
6-12
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 28.8
34.2
29.8
15
51%
5
5
2
1
0
1
0
5
5-6
83%
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
2-7
29%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 20.9
31.1
22.8
13
75%
10
0
0
1
1
3
3
7
5-6
83%
4-6
3-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.0
15.8
21.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 23.7
25.9
21.1
13
101%
4
2
3
1
1
0
2
2
1-1
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
46%
2-3
67%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.2
21.6
26.1
9
57%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
3-7
20%
44%
2-2
100%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.1
14.6
22.9
4
100%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
58%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.5
13.4
16.9
2
25%
0
7
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.5
11.3
9.5
4
50%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.3
1.9
0
0-0
44%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
1.1
0
0-0
49%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.0
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.5
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.5
41.1
34.5
22
65%
4
5
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
8-11
5-11
73%
49%
2-6
33%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.7
38.8
37.2
16
54%
5
3
0
2
1
3
1
4
4-4
100%
6-11
6-12
55%
48%
0-2
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.7
31.4
29.3
8
50%
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
4-7
57%
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
0-2
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 20.9
17.8
19.9
6
43%
7
0
2
0
3
0
2
5
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
50%
0-0
-
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
16.0
19.4
4
67%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.3
20.9
16.6
11
62%
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
1-2
50%
5-8
3-5
63%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.5
20.1
20.2
11
61%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
3-4
75%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.7
20.1
23.1
4
53%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.8
17.8
22.9
8
67%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
12.1
10.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.7
3.8
5.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.2
5.6
0
1-1
43%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.9
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.0
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.